SHANNON, T.W.

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S2OK00210
Internal id: ae51577f-aed5-44be-a606-05cf2de6f6bd
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Oklahoma. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	4,028,634
People	Median age	37
Income	Median household income	$65,039
Income	Per-capita income	$35,624
Income	In poverty	15.3%
Income	Unemployed	4.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.467
Race	White alone	65.2%
Race	Black alone	7.0%
Race	Asian alone	2.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	12.7%
Race	Two or more races	14.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.4%
Language	Speaks English only at home	88.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	8.1%
Education	High school or higher	59.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	28.4%
Education	Advanced degree	9.9%
Household	Family households	64.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.50
Household	Never married (15+)	30.7%
Housing	Median home value	$199,800
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,014
Housing	Single-family detached	72.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.9%
Housing	Vacant units	12.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.9%
Health	With a disability	17.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.4%
Commute	Drove alone	77.5%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	9.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$901	$0	$0	$0
2024	$0	$1,096	$901	$45,303	$0
2022	$1,381,685	$1,379,688	$1,997	$45,303	$1,220,568

Elections

2022 general senate · OK-S — running
2022 general senate · OK-S — running
2022 general senate · OK-S — running
2022 general senate · OK-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · OK-S — running
2022 general senate · OK-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · OK-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · OK-S — running
2022 general senate · OK-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · OK-S — lost_general

Committees

T.W. FOR OKLAHOMA — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$988,824	$0	14

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-08-18	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$15,000	Broadcast Media
2022-08-18	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$2,415	Broadcast Media
2022-08-12	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$65,325	Direct Mail
2022-08-11	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$65,325	Direct Mail
2022-08-10	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$85,428	Direct Mail
2022-08-10	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$12,600	Direct Mail
2022-08-10	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$65,325	Direct Mail
2022-08-10	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$65,325	Direct Mail
2022-08-02	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$53,161	Direct Mail
2022-08-02	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$365,000	Broadcast Media
2022-08-02	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$7,500	Robo Calls
2022-08-02	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$110,000	Radio Advertising
2022-07-28	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$34,413	Direct Mail
2022-07-27	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	support	$42,007	Direct Mail

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-11-04	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-11-04	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-11-04	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-11-04	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-10-20	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-10-14	WINRED	24K	$-15
2022-10-05	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-09-30	WINRED	24K	$-1,900
2022-09-21	WINRED	24K	$-120
2022-09-21	WINRED	24K	$-120
2022-09-21	WINRED	24K	$-120
2022-09-21	WINRED	24K	$-120
2022-09-21	WINRED	24K	$-120
2022-09-21	WINRED	24K	$-120
2022-09-21	WINRED	24K	$-120
2022-09-21	WINRED	24K	$-120
2022-09-21	WINRED	24K	$-120
2022-09-21	WINRED	24K	$-120
2022-09-21	WINRED	24K	$-30
2022-09-03	WINRED	24K	$-250
2022-08-26	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-08-26	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-08-18	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	24E	$15,000
2022-08-18	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-08-18	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	24E	$2,415

Connected on the graph

Inbound (82)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-11-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-11-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-11-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-4	pas2
2022-11-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-10-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-10-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-10-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-09-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,900	pas2
2022-09-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-09-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-09-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-09-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-09-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-09-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-09-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-30	pas2
2022-09-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-09-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-09-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-09-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-09-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2022-08-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-08-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-08-18	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$15,000	fec_ies
2022-08-18	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$2,415	pas2
2022-08-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-08-18	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$2,415	fec_ies
2022-08-18	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$15,000	pas2
2022-08-12	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$65,325	fec_ies
2022-08-12	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$65,325	pas2
2022-08-11	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$65,325	pas2
2022-08-11	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$65,325	fec_ies
2022-08-10	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$12,600	fec_ies
2022-08-10	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$65,325	fec_ies
2022-08-10	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$12,600	pas2
2022-08-10	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$85,428	pas2
2022-08-10	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$65,325	fec_ies
2022-08-10	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$85,428	fec_ies
2022-08-02	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$365,000	pas2
2022-08-02	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$365,000	fec_ies
2022-08-02	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$7,500	fec_ies
2022-08-02	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$110,000	fec_ies
2022-08-02	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$110,000	pas2
2022-08-02	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$53,161	fec_ies
2022-08-02	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$53,161	pas2
2022-08-02	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$7,500	pas2
2022-08-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-07-28	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$34,413	fec_ies
2022-07-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-07-28	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$34,413	pas2
2022-07-27	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$42,007	pas2
2022-07-27	FIGHTERS FOR A STRONG AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$42,007	fec_ies
2022-07-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-06-27	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-06-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-06-22	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
2022-06-17	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$50,000	pas2
2022-06-15	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$296,025	pas2
2022-06-14	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$48,035	pas2
2022-06-14	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$21,176	pas2
2022-06-14	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$50,000	pas2
2022-06-10	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$40,000	pas2
2022-06-09	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$264,000	pas2
2022-06-09	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$18,729	pas2
2022-06-09	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$4,500	pas2
2022-06-08	BLACK AMERICA'S POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-08	OGE ENERGY CORP EMPLOYEES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-07	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$21,176	pas2
2022-06-03	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$52,879	pas2
2022-06-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,400	pas2
2022-06-01	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$4,500	pas2
2022-06-01	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$198,000	pas2
2022-05-25	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$4,500	pas2
2022-05-25	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$132,000	pas2
2022-05-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-05-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-05-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-05-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-05-06	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$253,441	pas2
2022-05-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-05-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2022-04-28	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$123,242	pas2
2022-04-22	OKLAHOMA CONSERVATIVE ALLIANCE	contributed_to	$123,242	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	T.W. FOR OKLAHOMA	—		candidate_committees

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