FLEMING, ROBERT M
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2OR00226- Internal id
5a33e429-2e61-479c-bf3d-afeefc55ae9a- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Oregon. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 4,254,293 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $83,011 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $45,612 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.463 |
| Race | White alone | 74.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.1% |
| Household | Family households | 61.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $477,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,525 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 62.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 64.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.0% |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
Committees
- ROBERT FLEMING FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROBERT FLEMING FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |