LESNAR, TAMARA J.
L Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2SD00142- Internal id
5af1253c-6a8c-4373-ae6d-3499b0f5cf05- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), South Dakota. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 907,428 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,081 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,550 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 2.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.449 |
| Race | White alone | 80.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.0% |
| Household | Family households | 61.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.39 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $257,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $946 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.7% |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· SD-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· SD-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· SD-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· SD-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· SD-S β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 13.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.