SMITH, JASON J
I Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2TN00371- Internal id
99e7fea0-6c79-4eda-866d-0345459c459e
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Tennessee. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 7,066,383 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $69,595 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,437 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.476 |
| Race | White alone | 72.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.7% |
| Household | Family households | 64.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $286,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,189 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.9% |
Elections
- 2032 general senate Β· TN-S β running
- 2032 general senate Β· TN-S β running
- 2032 general senate Β· TN-S β running
- 2032 general senate Β· TN-S β running
- 2032 general senate Β· TN-S β running
- 2032 general senate Β· TN-S β running
- 2032 general senate Β· TN-S β running
- 2032 general senate Β· TN-S β running
Committees
- SMITH FOR US SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 13.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SMITH FOR US SENATE | β | candidate_committees |