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CRUZ, RAFAEL EDWARD TED

R · senate · currently seated · bioguide C001098

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FEC candidate id
S2TX00312
Internal id
0daad51c-dac2-490f-86fc-09044c747b64
Status
incumbent

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Texas. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation30,188,424
PeopleMedian age36
IncomeMedian household income$78,476
IncomePer-capita income$40,752
IncomeIn poverty13.8%
IncomeUnemployed5.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.478
RaceWhite alone48.5%
RaceBlack alone12.2%
RaceAsian alone5.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino39.7%
RaceTwo or more races23.5%
OriginForeign-born17.6%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home64.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home28.1%
EducationHigh school or higher58.1%
EducationBachelor's or higher33.8%
EducationAdvanced degree12.3%
HouseholdFamily households67.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.69
HouseholdNever married (15+)34.1%
HousingMedian home value$283,800
HousingMedian gross rent$1,403
HousingSingle-family detached64.4%
HousingBuilt before 19402.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)4.8%
HousingVacant units9.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.2%
HealthWith a disability12.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.3%
CommuteDrove alone71.4%
CommutePublic transit0.9%
CommuteWorked from home14.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$8,266,381$7,469,079$2,584,010$0$6,772,277
2024$74,050,031$75,643,604$1,786,707$0$67,435,723
2022$19,404,180$20,618,901$3,380,281$0$17,309,688
2020$13,659,655$9,222,612$4,595,002$10,000$12,064,513
2018$35,409,077$39,458,810$157,959$10,000$29,234,222
2016$6,154,650$3,255,304$4,207,690$0$2,196,377
2014$4,104,991$3,276,062$1,308,343$545,000$1,494,404
2012$15,098,279$14,618,864$479,413$904,178$12,044,363

Elections

Committees

Recent votes

Sponsored & cosponsored bills

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
incumbent+78.0%
R (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2026$85,504$072
2024$9,000,909$2,778,518595
2022$0$159,80616

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
WINSENATEoppose$23,750Digital Media Buy - Estimate
WINSENATEoppose$42,000Digital Media Buy & Production Costs - Estimate
WINSENATEoppose$60,000Digital Media Buy & Production Costs - Estimate
WINSENATEoppose$1,000,000Media Buy - Estimate
WINSENATEoppose$4,068Media Production Costs - Estimate
WINSENATEoppose$120,000Media Buy - Estimate
WINSENATEoppose$123,750Digital Media Buy - Estimate
SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTIONsupport$7,772IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTIONsupport$2,600IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTIONsupport$15,545IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$1,250IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$5,193IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$53,295IE-CRUZ-DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$5,182IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$33IE-CRUZ-POSTAGE
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$2,575IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$1,250IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$5,193IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$53,295IE-SCOTT-DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$2,575IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$2,591IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$5,182IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$5,182IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$2,600IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL MARKETING
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupport$5,182IE-CRUZ-DIGITAL ADVERTISING

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2026-03-30SYNOPSYS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SYNO…24K$2,500
2026-03-18AIRCRAFT OWNERS AND PILOTS ASSOCIATION POLITICA…24K$2,500
2026-03-18DENTONS US LLP PAC24K$1,500
2026-03-04SAILDRONE INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SAIL…24K$2,500
2026-02-26CORNING INCORPORATED EMPLOYEES POLITICAL ACTION…24K$2,500
2026-02-26BHFS-E, PC PAC (BROWNSTEIN HYATT FARBER SCHRECK…24K$2,500
2026-02-26BHFS-E, PC PAC (BROWNSTEIN HYATT FARBER SCHRECK…24K$2,500
2026-02-25NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BROADCASTERS POLITICAL …24K$325
2026-02-25SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND24E$42
2026-02-24NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BROADCASTERS POLITICAL …24K$-325
2026-02-24MOTOROLA SOLUTIONS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…24K$5,000
2026-02-19CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC24K$100
2026-02-19SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND24E$18
2026-02-19COX ENTERPRISES PAC (COXPAC) INC.24K$5,000
2026-02-11SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND24E$15
2026-02-05SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND24E$277
2026-02-04SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND24E$6
2026-02-03CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC24K$30
2026-01-28SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND24E$28
2026-01-21SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND24E$14
2026-01-14EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…24K$5,000
2026-01-14EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…24K$5,000
2026-01-14NORWEGIAN CRUISE CO. INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMM…24K$3,500
2026-01-14NORWEGIAN CRUISE CO. INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMM…24K$1,500
2026-01-14SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND24E$3

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee TED CRUZ FOR SENATE.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
WALKER, DOUGLAS G.PENN-MAR CASTINGS · CHAIRMANKEY WEST, FL2$6,500
MISCHER, PAULAMISCHER INVESTMENTS · INVESTMENTSHOUSTON, TX1$2,500
SMITH, MARJORIE L. MRS.RETIRED · RETIREDNEW CASTLE, NH1$2,000
HALL, JAMES E. MR.SELF-EMPLOYED · OPERATORMIDLAND, TX1$1,600
SNOWDEN, JAMES H. MR. IIIRETIRED · RETIREDFORT WORTH, TX15$1,200
MARTIN, MERLINFARMER · SELF-EMPLOYEDCLAYTON, IN3$1,010
WAGNER, CANDACE B.SELF-EMPLOYED · INVESTORJACKSONVILLE, TX1$1,000
BRYANT, ANDREARETIRED · RETIREDWAUKESHA, WI1$1,000
LOVE, J. B. JR.RETIRED · RETIREDMARATHON, TX1$1,000
BOLTON, DWAYNEMOUNTAIN VIEW PARTNERS DC LLC · LOBBYISTWASHINGTON, DC1$1,000
CASELLA, DARLENERETIRED · RETIREDBERMUDA DUNES, CA1$1,000
LONG, LARRYCITIZENS BANK · CHAIRMANKILGORE, TX1$1,000
CLOUTIER, JAMESRETIRED · RETIREDHOUMA, LA1$1,000
HOOPER, JIMRETIRED · RETIREDUPLAND, CA1$1,000
TIMBERLAKE, JAMESAGRIDYNE · OWNERSPRINGFIELD, IL1$1,000
ASBURY, DEBBIE G.RETIRED · RETIREDNEW BRAUNFELS, TX2$1,000
GILBERT, SAM IIIKAPUNI DEVELOPMENT CORP · PROPERTY MANAGERHONOLULU, HI1$970
L, KENNETHRETIRED · RETIREDHURST, TX1$970
SOUDER, ASHLEYGI OME · R.N.JACKSON, TN4$906
HUANG, HUALINNU CYBERTEK INC. · SOFTWARE ENGINEERDAVIS, CA2$620
BRODIE, MARY F.RETIRED · RETIREDUNION PIER, MI2$600
NOLLSCH, DAVIDRETIRED · RETIREDHOUSTON, TX1$582
BRUCE, ROBERT H. MR.SELF-EMPLOYED · BROADCAST NARRATOR-PRODUCERBOERNE, TX2$550
LEAHY, PATRICIARETIRED · RETIREDCOLORADO SPRINGS, CO2$549
YANCEY, JO ANNRETIRED · RETIREDCONROE, TX24$543

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2026-05-18ec932852clip_aboutclip
2026-05-180c34a7ddclip_aboutclip
WINSENATEopposes_independently$1,000,000fec_ies
WINSENATEopposes_independently$4,068fec_ies
WINSENATEopposes_independently$60,000fec_ies
WINSENATEopposes_independently$42,000fec_ies
WINSENATEopposes_independently$120,000fec_ies
WINSENATEopposes_independently$23,750fec_ies
WINSENATEopposes_independently$123,750fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$5,193fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$5,182fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$5,193fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$5,182fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$2,575fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTIONsupports_independently$7,772fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTIONsupports_independently$2,600fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$1,875fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$5,182fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$5,182fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$5,182fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$33fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$2,575fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$2,591fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTIONsupports_independently$15,545fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$53,295fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$5,182fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$2,600fec_ies
SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$53,295fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$2,704fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$67fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$528fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$118fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$110fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$83fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$119fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$1,005fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$165fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$158fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$188fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$333fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$9,766fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$12,654fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$271fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$485fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$1,383fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$1,331fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$13,531fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$9,487fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$37,044fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$5,898fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$1,703fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$737fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$16,184fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$7,855fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$2,150fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$3,818fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$57fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$162fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$1,380fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$529fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$280fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$611fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$155fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$125fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$11,821fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$853fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$273fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$409fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$6,658fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$274fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$91fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$5,836fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$272fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$1,839fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$42,671fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$107fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$134fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$43,887fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$372fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$162fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$279fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$7,571fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$266fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$200fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$112fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$770fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$21,966fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$255fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$27,109fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$219fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$157fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$407fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$46,496fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$26,810fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$11,981fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$32,647fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$6,346fec_ies
RED SENATEsupports_independently$159fec_ies

Outbound (35)

datetypetoamountrolesource
joint_fundraising_committee_ofTED CRUZ VICTORY FUNDcandidate_committees
principal_candidate_ofTED CRUZ FOR SENATEcandidate_committees
principal_candidate_ofTED CRUZ FOR SENATEcandidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofLEE CRUZ VICTORY COMMITTEEcandidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_of2018 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEEcandidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofUNITED FOR A SENATE MAJORITYcandidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofCRUZ VICTORY COMMITTEEcandidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofIN DEFENSE OF FREE SPEECH JFCcandidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofLEE CRUZ MASSIE & SCHWEIKERT VICTORY COMMITTEEcandidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofFOUNDERS COMMITTEE; THEcandidate_committees
2025-03-05spoke_in_clip0244c951clip
2025-03-05spoke_in_clipb631a6cfclip
2025-03-05spoke_in_clip4e3131declip
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Rules and Administration CommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Crime and Counterterrorism SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Federal Courts, Oversight, Agency Action, and Federal Rights SubcommitteeCHAIRcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Constitution SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Foreign Relations CommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Africa and Global Health Policy SubcommitteeCHAIRcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Near East, South Asia, Central Asia, and Counterterrorism SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Western Hemisphere, Transnational Crime, Civilian Security, Democracy, Human Rights, and Global Women's Issues SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Commerce, Science, and Transportation CommitteeCHAIRcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Coast Guard, Maritime, and Fisheries SubcommitteeEX_OFFICIOcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Consumer Protection, Technology, and Data Privacy SubcommitteeEX_OFFICIOcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Aviation, Space, and Innovation SubcommitteeEX_OFFICIOcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Science, Manufacturing, and Competitiveness SubcommitteeEX_OFFICIOcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Surface Transportation, Freight, Pipelines, and Safety SubcommitteeEX_OFFICIOcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Telecommunications and Media SubcommitteeEX_OFFICIOcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Judiciary CommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeSenate Border Security and Immigration SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2024-05-14cosponsor_of_billSJRES 78 — A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, Uncosponsorsponsorship
2024-02-01sponsor_of_billSJRES 58 — A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, Unsponsorsponsorship
2023-09-28cosponsor_of_billS 2968 — NFIP Extension through 2023 Actcosponsorsponsorship
2023-07-27cosponsor_of_billS 2661 — Fairness for Crime Victims Act of 2023cosponsorsponsorship
2023-03-21sponsor_of_billS 879 — Energy Freedom Actsponsorsponsorship

Clips (9)

Quotes, press releases, and Congressional Record fragments where this entity is the subject. Source: govinfo.gov BILLSTATUS + per-source ingest pipelines.

DateSourceSpeakerHeadline
GDELTwinnipegfreepress.com: https://www.winnipegfreepress.com/uncategorized/2026/05/18/big-ten-on-a-roll-at-spring-meetings-trying-to-solve-playoff-stalemate-and-other-college-problems
GDELTpjmedia.com: https://pjmedia.com/matt-margolis/2026/05/18/ted-cruz-just-torched-every-democrat-screaming-jim-crow-n4952996
GDELTfreerepublic.com: https://freerepublic.com/tag/*/index?more=4379866
GDELTfreerepublic.com: https://freerepublic.com/tag/*/index?more=4379855
GDELTsalon.com: https://www.salon.com/2026/05/18/for-texas-gop-immigration-politics-show-signs-of-fading-potency-partner/
GDELTnewrepublic.com: https://newrepublic.com/article/210477/samuel-alito-recuse-fossil-fuel-case
Congressional RecordPRIVILEGES OF THE FLOOR
Congressional RecordCOAST GUARD AUTHORIZATION ACT OF 2025
Congressional RecordHALT ALL LETHAL TRAFFICKING OF FENTANYL ACT--Motion to Proceed

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