ISOM, ALLY

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S2UT00344
Internal id: e3a13530-0861-45de-9a42-7e4df462f27d
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Utah. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	3,392,331
People	Median age	32
Income	Median household income	$95,166
Income	Per-capita income	$40,873
Income	In poverty	8.5%
Income	Unemployed	3.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.427
Race	White alone	78.8%
Race	Black alone	1.2%
Race	Asian alone	2.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	15.9%
Race	Two or more races	9.7%
Origin	Foreign-born	8.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	84.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	10.9%
Education	High school or higher	60.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	37.7%
Education	Advanced degree	13.0%
Household	Family households	72.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.97
Household	Never married (15+)	31.9%
Housing	Median home value	$489,400
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,496
Housing	Single-family detached	66.5%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.1%
Housing	Vacant units	8.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.6%
Health	With a disability	10.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	3.4%
Commute	Drove alone	67.4%
Commute	Public transit	1.6%
Commute	Worked from home	17.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$106	$106	$0	$0	$0
2022	$771,199	$771,199	$0	$0	$566,806

Elections

2022 general senate · UT-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · UT-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · UT-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · UT-S — running
2022 general senate · UT-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · UT-S — lost_general

Committees

ALLY FOR UTAH — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-02-18	WINRED	24K	$-1
2021-09-01	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2021-06-10	CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION	24E	$67
2021-06-07	CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION	24A	$67
2021-06-03	CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION	24A	$67
2021-06-03	CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION	24A	$858
2021-06-03	CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION	24A	$200
2021-06-03	CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION	24A	$858
2021-06-03	CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION	24A	$858

Connected on the graph

Inbound (9)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-02-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2021-09-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2021-06-10	CLUB FOR GROWTH	contributed_to	$67	pas2
2021-06-07	CLUB FOR GROWTH	contributed_to	$67	pas2
2021-06-03	CLUB FOR GROWTH	contributed_to	$67	pas2
2021-06-03	CLUB FOR GROWTH	contributed_to	$200	pas2
2021-06-03	CLUB FOR GROWTH	contributed_to	$858	pas2
2021-06-03	CLUB FOR GROWTH	contributed_to	$858	pas2
2021-06-03	CLUB FOR GROWTH	contributed_to	$858	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	ALLY FOR UTAH	—		candidate_committees

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