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MCCORMICK, DAVID M

R Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S2VA00126
Internal id
2ecef958-ff30-4ab2-a021-8b935d8da960
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Virginia. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation8,705,170
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$93,170
IncomePer-capita income$50,666
IncomeIn poverty9.9%
IncomeUnemployed4.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.471
RaceWhite alone60.2%
RaceBlack alone18.6%
RaceAsian alone6.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino11.0%
RaceTwo or more races9.5%
OriginForeign-born13.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home82.6%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home7.9%
EducationHigh school or higher66.0%
EducationBachelor's or higher42.2%
EducationAdvanced degree18.5%
HouseholdFamily households64.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.52
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.2%
HousingMedian home value$383,700
HousingMedian gross rent$1,579
HousingSingle-family detached61.3%
HousingBuilt before 19404.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.1%
HousingVacant units8.7%
ServiceVeterans (18+)9.4%
HealthWith a disability12.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.7%
CommuteDrove alone67.6%
CommutePublic transit2.3%
CommuteWorked from home18.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2012$308,970$308,969$0$93,909$4,425

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2025-02-25PRIME POLICY GROUP LLC/BURSON POLITICAL ACTION …24K$2,500
2025-02-03AMERICAN BAKERS ASSOCIATION AMERICAN BAKERS POL…24K$2,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (2)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2025-02-25PRIME POLICY GROUP LLC/BURSON POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2025-02-03AMERICAN BAKERS ASSOCIATION AMERICAN BAKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,500pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofDAVID MCCORMICK FOR SENATEβ€”candidate_committees

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