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NOLAN, CHRISTINA

R · senate

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FEC candidate id
S2VT00268
Internal id
cf0e6cdc-bfc9-47d6-9ac3-797347e1e63e
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Vermont. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation647,106
PeopleMedian age43
IncomeMedian household income$81,203
IncomePer-capita income$46,500
IncomeIn poverty10.1%
IncomeUnemployed3.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.453
RaceWhite alone90.7%
RaceBlack alone1.1%
RaceAsian alone1.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino2.6%
RaceTwo or more races5.5%
OriginForeign-born4.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home94.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home1.3%
EducationHigh school or higher70.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher43.8%
EducationAdvanced degree18.6%
HouseholdFamily households58.9%
HouseholdAvg household size2.28
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.4%
HousingMedian home value$316,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,234
HousingSingle-family detached67.3%
HousingBuilt before 19403.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.6%
HousingVacant units19.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.2%
HealthWith a disability14.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.2%
CommuteDrove alone68.5%
CommutePublic transit0.8%
CommuteWorked from home16.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$405,146$405,146$0$0$366,306

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$25,000$01

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2022-08-05VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…support$25,000IE-Nolan-Voter Calls

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-12-09MAKING A RESPONSIBLE STAND FOR HOUSEHOLDS IN AM…24K$-5,000
2022-12-09MAKING A RESPONSIBLE STAND FOR HOUSEHOLDS IN AM…24K$-5,000
2022-10-13WINRED24K$-30
2022-09-26VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…24K$-5,000
2022-09-26DIRIGO PAC24K$-5,000
2022-09-19WINRED24K$-100
2022-09-19WINRED24K$-2,542
2022-09-19WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-09-19WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-09-19WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-09-19WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-09-19WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-09-19WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-09-19WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-09-19WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-09-19WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-08-05MAKING A RESPONSIBLE STAND FOR HOUSEHOLDS IN AM…24K$5,000
2022-08-05VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…24E$25,000
2022-08-05MAKING A RESPONSIBLE STAND FOR HOUSEHOLDS IN AM…24K$5,000
2022-08-04BLUEGRASS COMMITTEE24K$5,000
2022-07-28CONSERVATIVES HARVESTING SUCCESS PAC24K$5,000
2022-07-15DIRIGO PAC24K$5,000
2022-05-11LOG CABIN REPUBLICANS PAC24K$500
2022-05-04BLUEGRASS COMMITTEE24K$5,000
2022-05-02VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…24K$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (32)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-12-09MAKING A RESPONSIBLE STAND FOR HOUSEHOLDS IN AMERICA PACcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2022-12-09MAKING A RESPONSIBLE STAND FOR HOUSEHOLDS IN AMERICA PACcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2022-10-13WINREDcontributed_to$-30pas2
2022-09-26DIRIGO PACcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2022-09-26VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-2,542pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-08-05VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEsupports_independently$25,000fec_ies
2022-08-05MAKING A RESPONSIBLE STAND FOR HOUSEHOLDS IN AMERICA PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-08-05MAKING A RESPONSIBLE STAND FOR HOUSEHOLDS IN AMERICA PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-08-05VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$25,000pas2
2022-08-04BLUEGRASS COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-28CONSERVATIVES HARVESTING SUCCESS PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-15DIRIGO PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-05-11LOG CABIN REPUBLICANS PACcontributed_to$500pas2
2022-05-04BLUEGRASS COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-05-02VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-05-02VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-04-29WINREDcontributed_to$-500pas2
2022-04-27JOBS OPPORTUNITY AND NEW IDEAS PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-03-29LOG CABIN REPUBLICANS PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-03-02COMMON VALUES PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-02-01DIRIGO PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
—principal_candidate_ofCHRISTINA NOLAN FOR U.S. SENATE—candidate_committees

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