MALLOY, GERALD
R Β· senate
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
S2VT00292- Internal id
3b5cc840-8499-4ebc-bb31-369c1fb82041- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Vermont. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 647,106 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $81,203 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,500 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 90.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 2.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 70.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 43.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.6% |
| Household | Family households | 58.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.28 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $316,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,234 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 19.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $17,908 | $33,122 | $5,821 | $0 | $16,753 |
| 2024 | $662,960 | $642,786 | $21,035 | $5,000 | $643,687 |
| 2022 | $397,262 | $397,918 | $861 | $0 | $285,292 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· VT-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· VT-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· VT-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· VT-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· VT-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· VT-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· VT-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· VT-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· VT-S β running
Committees
- GERALD MALLOY FOR US SENATE, LIMITED β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $165,600 | $0 | 6 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-12 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | support | $75,000 | TV AD BUY (11/25/2022-11/8/2022) |
| 2022-10-12 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | support | $75,000 | TV AD BUY (11/25/2022-11/8/2022) |
| 2022-10-07 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | support | $300 | VOICEOVER FOR AD |
| 2022-10-07 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | support | $300 | VOICEOVER FOR AD |
| 2022-10-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | support | $7,500 | VIDEO PRODUCTION (11/25/2022-11/8/2022) |
| 2022-10-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | support | $7,500 | VIDEO PRODUCTION (11/25/2022-11/8/2022) |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-29 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | 24E | $1,868 |
| 2022-11-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-30 |
| 2022-11-17 | WINRED | 24K | $-4 |
| 2022-11-08 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | 24E | $1,868 |
| 2022-11-07 | NRSC | 24K | $15,000 |
| 2022-11-01 | TRUE NORTH PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-10-29 | VERMONT RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE INC. POLITICAL β¦ | 24E | $10 |
| 2022-10-13 | WINRED | 24K | $-35 |
| 2022-10-12 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | 24E | $75,000 |
| 2022-10-08 | PROJECTHEALTHSOLUTIONS PAC - PHSPAC | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-10-07 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | 24E | $300 |
| 2022-10-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | 24E | $7,500 |
| 2022-09-09 | REPUBLICAN MAJORITY FUND | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-09-07 | NRSC | 24C | $15,000 |
| 2022-08-30 | BADLANDS PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-29 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (22)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-29 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,868 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-4 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-08 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,868 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | NRSC | contributed_to | $15,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | TRUE NORTH PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-29 | VERMONT RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE INC. POLITICAL COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-12 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $75,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-12 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $75,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-12 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $75,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-08 | PROJECTHEALTHSOLUTIONS PAC - PHSPAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $300 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $300 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-07 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $300 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $7,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $7,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $7,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-09 | REPUBLICAN MAJORITY FUND | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-07 | NRSC | contributed_to | $15,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-30 | BADLANDS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-29 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | GERALD MALLOY FOR US SENATE, LIMITED | β | candidate_committees |