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SOLSTIN, BRYAN

D Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S2WA00445
Internal id
d71719db-4585-4e3d-9471-ad758d69e845
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Washington. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation7,816,116
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$98,141
IncomePer-capita income$53,744
IncomeIn poverty9.9%
IncomeUnemployed5.0%
IncomeGini inequality index0.469
RaceWhite alone65.8%
RaceBlack alone4.0%
RaceAsian alone9.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino14.4%
RaceTwo or more races12.8%
OriginForeign-born15.4%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home78.6%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home9.0%
EducationHigh school or higher61.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher39.6%
EducationAdvanced degree15.6%
HouseholdFamily households63.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.50
HouseholdNever married (15+)32.6%
HousingMedian home value$564,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,760
HousingSingle-family detached61.9%
HousingBuilt before 19404.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.5%
HousingVacant units7.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.8%
HealthWith a disability13.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband93.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.2%
CommuteDrove alone63.4%
CommutePublic transit3.5%
CommuteWorked from home19.8%

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofSOLSTIN ORGβ€”candidate_committees

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