KYL, JON L
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4AZ00030- Internal id
cf4b5daa-1977-444f-ab29-6949f983752a- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Arizona. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 7,378,838 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $79,964 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,503 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.464 |
| Race | White alone | 59.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 31.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 13.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 74.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 19.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.0% |
| Household | Family households | 64.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.53 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $394,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,543 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 66.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $53,436 | $376,812 | $358,427 | $0 | $18,686 |
| 2010 | $722,524 | $371,925 | $681,801 | $0 | $279,214 |
| 2008 | $435,953 | $517,747 | $331,201 | $0 | $91,552 |
| 2006 | $14,123,880 | $15,571,727 | $412,993 | $0 | $10,964,367 |
| 2004 | $1,119,334 | $321,438 | $1,860,840 | $0 | $689,988 |
| 2002 | $280,805 | $209,843 | $1,062,943 | $0 | $134,927 |
| 2000 | $2,985,612 | $2,503,674 | $991,980 | $693 | $1,890,103 |
| 1998 | $517,542 | $161,133 | $510,041 | $0 | $440,013 |
| 1996 | $116,300 | $138,605 | $153,631 | $0 | $41,574 |
| 1994 | $4,314,138 | $4,138,203 | $175,934 | $40,852 | $2,530,518 |
Elections
- 1994 general senate Β· AZ-S β running
- 2000 general senate Β· AZ-S β running
- 2000 general senate Β· AZ-S β running
- 2000 general senate Β· AZ-S β running
- 2000 general senate Β· AZ-S β running
- 2000 general senate Β· AZ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· AZ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· AZ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· AZ-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· AZ-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· AZ-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· AZ-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· AZ-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· AZ-S β lost_general
Committees
- 2005 LEADER'S ALLIANCE COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type Y
- 2005 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- 2006 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- ARIZONA FUND β principal Β· type N
- ARIZONA FUND β independent Β· type N
- KYL DEWINE BURNS KENNEDY CALIFORNIA COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- KYL TALENT ROAD TO VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- NORTHWEST FOR A MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- ROAD TO THE SENATE MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type Q
- SENATE MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- W/N 1999 β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- W/N 2000 COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (12)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | ARIZONA FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | W/N 2000 COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NORTHWEST FOR A MAJORITY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2005 LEADER'S ALLIANCE COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ROAD TO THE SENATE MAJORITY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | KYL DEWINE BURNS KENNEDY CALIFORNIA COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | KYL TALENT ROAD TO VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2005 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2006 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | W/N 1999 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SENATE MAJORITY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ARIZONA FUND | β | candidate_committees |