ROLDAN, WILLY JR
OTHER Β· senate
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
S4CA00985- Internal id
2fc740fa-9cb8-4787-b9a8-b8b1cb9027fe- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), California. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 39,287,377 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,122 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,513 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.489 |
| Race | White alone | 39.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 15.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 40.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 27.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 55.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 28.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.4% |
| Household | Family households | 67.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.84 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $734,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,036 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 57.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 8.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.2% |
Elections
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 8.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.