ABRAHAM, SPENCER SENATOR

R · senate · bioguide A000355

FEC candidate id: S4MI00165
Internal id: 01eea882-35c6-4f56-af49-f5a7b751a230
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Michigan. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	10,077,761
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$72,875
Income	Per-capita income	$40,735
Income	In poverty	13.2%
Income	Unemployed	5.7%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.465
Race	White alone	73.7%
Race	Black alone	13.3%
Race	Asian alone	3.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	5.9%
Race	Two or more races	7.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	7.2%
Language	Speaks English only at home	89.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	3.1%
Education	High school or higher	60.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	32.5%
Education	Advanced degree	12.7%
Household	Family households	62.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.42
Household	Never married (15+)	34.2%
Housing	Median home value	$231,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,129
Housing	Single-family detached	72.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	7.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.6%
Housing	Vacant units	11.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.8%
Health	With a disability	14.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.0%
Commute	Drove alone	74.3%
Commute	Public transit	0.9%
Commute	Worked from home	13.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2002	$275,658	$317,575	$0	$0	$121,040
2000	$11,838,542	$13,028,636	$41,917	$228,767	$8,759,626
1998	$1,381,877	$431,167	$1,232,011	$0	$1,078,502
1996	$1,283,648	$1,055,045	$281,575	$19,000	$991,230
1994	$4,511,046	$4,458,073	$52,973	$128,855	$3,624,362

Elections

1994 general senate · MI-S — won
2000 general senate · MI-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · MI-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · MI-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · MI-S — won
2000 general senate · MI-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · MI-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · MI-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · MI-S — won

Committees

ABRAHAM FOR SENATE (1994) — principal · type S
ABRAHAM SENATE 2000 — principal · type S
GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND — joint_fundraising · type X
RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT 2000 — joint_fundraising · type S
ROAST OF GOVERNOR ENGLER COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type Y
W/N 1999 — joint_fundraising · type S
W/N 2000 COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type S

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (7)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	W/N 2000 COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	ROAST OF GOVERNOR ENGLER COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT 2000	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	W/N 1999	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	ABRAHAM FOR SENATE (1994)	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	ABRAHAM SENATE 2000	—	candidate_committees

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