ROGERS, MICHAEL J
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4MI00595- Internal id
430dada3-8467-41a8-8afa-a8b023599ccb- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Michigan. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 10,077,761 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,875 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,735 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 73.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 13.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.7% |
| Household | Family households | 62.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $231,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,129 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 72.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $7,623,339 | $3,670,043 | $4,208,028 | $0 | $4,476,026 |
| 2024 | $13,247,397 | $12,992,665 | $254,731 | $30,000 | $9,726,563 |
Elections
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β lost_general
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
Committees
- ROGERS FOR MI SENATE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2024 β principal Β· type S
- ROGERS FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3,962,351 | $4,644 | 34 |
| 2024 | $24,092,455 | $41,066,112 | 313 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | oppose | $4,644 | Digital Ad Production |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | support | $750,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | support | $1,800 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | support | $18,500 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | support | $500,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | support | $12,287 | DOORHANGER PRODUCTION |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | support | $1,000 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | support | $14,000 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | support | $500,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | support | $20,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | support | $1,800 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTIβ¦ | support | $10,200 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $425 | Digital Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $300,000 | Digital Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $15,321 | Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $4,453 | Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $398,797 | Digital Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $50 | Online Content & Production - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $2,500 | Online Content & Production - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $3,875 | Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $238,666 | Digital Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $489,156 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $1,467,468 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $500,500 | Digital Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $702,110 | Media Buy - Estimate |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee ROGERS FOR SENATE.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CASTLE, JOHN K. | CASTLE HARLAN INC. Β· MERCHANT BANKER | NEW YORK, NY | 2 | $13,910 |
| LOCKWOOD, STEPHEN | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | MARBLEHEAD, MA | 2 | $10,500 |
| MONAGHAN, THOMAS S. MR. | AVE MARIA FOUNDATION Β· EXECUTIVE | ANN ARBOR, MI | 1 | $7,000 |
| SMITH, STEPHEN B. | β | BRENTWOOD, TN | 2 | $6,500 |
| BEASLEY, THOMAS WILSON | β | DIXON SPRINGS, TN | 2 | $6,500 |
| PORTER, RICHARD W. | β | NORTHFIELD, IL | 2 | $6,500 |
| TAYLOR, DANIEL | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | WICHITA, KS | 1 | $3,500 |
| MEHOCIC, GEORGE R. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | LAS VEGAS, NV | 1 | $3,500 |
| JOHNSTON, LEE | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | MIDLAND, MI | 1 | $3,500 |
| JAVITS, ERIC M. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | PALM BEACH, FL | 3 | $3,032 |
| GRANBERY, JIMMY | HGHILL Β· REAL-ESTATE | NASHVILLE, TN | 1 | $2,582 |
| STENEHJEM, STEPHEN L. MR. | FIRST INT'L BANK & TRUST Β· BANKER | WATFORD CITY, ND | 1 | $2,000 |
| BEAMAN, LEE | BEAMAN VENTURES Β· OWNER | BRENTWOOD, TN | 1 | $2,000 |
| MCINERNEY, THOMAS E. | BLUFF POINT ASSOC. Β· VENTURE INVESTOR | WESTPORT, CT | 2 | $2,000 |
| SCHALL, JAMES E. DR. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | HUNTINGDON, PA | 5 | $1,630 |
| SHINA, SAM | β | WEST BLOOMFIELD, MI | 1 | $1,500 |
| BURNS, MICHAEL J. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | WEST PALM BEACH, FL | 63 | $1,152 |
| PERACCHIO, JOHN R. | PERACCHIO COMPANY Β· CONSULTANT | GROSSE POINTE SHOR, MI | 1 | $1,100 |
| HUANG, HUALIN | NU CYBERTEK INC. Β· ENGINEER | EL MACERO, CA | 7 | $1,072 |
| BULLOUGH, LEE A. | β | TRAVERSE CITY, MI | 1 | $1,000 |
| CAMARA, STEVEN A. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | NEW BEDFORD, MA | 1 | $1,000 |
| ONKEY, RICHARD | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | NAPLES, FL | 1 | $1,000 |
| DE CAMP, DOUGLAS | F.H.I. INC. Β· EXECUTIVE | HASTINGS, MI | 1 | $1,000 |
| MCINERNEY, MICHAEL E. | MCINERNEY AUTO CENTER Β· OWNER | CLARKSTON, MI | 1 | $1,000 |
| KNYTYCH, MICHAEL L. | KMC ENTERPRISES Β· RESTAURANT | SOUTH HAVEN, MI | 1 | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | opposes_independently | $4,644 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $500,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $18,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $500,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,800 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $20,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $14,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,800 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $10,200 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $12,287 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $750,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $238,666 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $1,875 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $18,507 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $190,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $300,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $489,156 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $78,947 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $425 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $15,873 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $20,346 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $1,821 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $3,818 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $2,392,996 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $702,110 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $1,467,468 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $2,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $190,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $103,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $190,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $1,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $4,198 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $672,377 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $10,060 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $3,875 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $650,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $398,797 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $50 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $213 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $190,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $8,920 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $741,236 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $751,401 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $1,513,834 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $3,038 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $4,453 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $12,972 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $125 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $2,572,783 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $698,797 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $15,038 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $299,063 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $2,835,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $500,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $100 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $379,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $12,486 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $190,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $500,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $4,333 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $20,346 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $8,219 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $896,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $190,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $714,429 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $15,321 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,739 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,978 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,293 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,315 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,773 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,278 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $803 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $385 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $511 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,562 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $531 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $844 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $664 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $569 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,159 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $7,007 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $248,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $248,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $8,279 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $563 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $248,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $248,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $300,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $248,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $150,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | COMMON SENSE FOR AMERICA PAC | supports_independently | $24,563 | fec_ies | |
| β | COMMON SENSE FOR AMERICA PAC | supports_independently | $475 | fec_ies | |
| β | COMMON SENSE FOR AMERICA PAC | supports_independently | $100,092 | fec_ies | |
| β | COMMON SENSE FOR AMERICA PAC | supports_independently | $180,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | COMMON SENSE FOR AMERICA PAC | supports_independently | $63,148 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $17,795 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $47,246 | fec_ies |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROGERS FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROGERS FOR MI SENATE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2024 | β | candidate_committees |