MCDANIEL, CHRISTOPHER BRIAN
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4MS00120- Internal id
943ce320-1a7d-4402-af33-8501a21055fa- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Mississippi. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 2,946,779 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $56,447 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $31,549 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.482 |
| Race | White alone | 55.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 36.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.9% |
| Household | Family households | 65.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.49 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $169,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $954 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 84.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 12.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 81.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 5.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $30 | $1 | $46,700 | $0 |
| 2024 | $65 | $48 | $31 | $46,700 | $65 |
| 2022 | $40 | $48 | $14 | $46,700 | $20 |
| 2020 | $1,166 | $9,010 | $22 | $46,700 | $1,166 |
| 2018 | $668,706 | $660,839 | $7,866 | $55,000 | $603,301 |
| 2016 | $0 | $8,182 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2014 | $3,327,999 | $3,319,815 | $8,182 | $25,100 | $2,485,124 |
Elections
- 2014 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2014 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2014 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2014 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
Committees
- FRIENDS OF CHRIS MCDANIEL β principal Β· type S
- FRIENDS OF CHRIS MCDANIEL β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-29 | GATORPAC | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-29 | GATORPAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-07-29 | GATORPAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF CHRIS MCDANIEL | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF CHRIS MCDANIEL | β | candidate_committees |