LAROSE, FRANK
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4OH00200- Internal id
f1eb7f26-654a-4c52-b102-fe2bf50b1b88- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Ohio. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 11,810,293 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,389 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,552 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.467 |
| Race | White alone | 76.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.2% |
| Household | Family households | 61.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $214,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,034 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $11,500 | $17,779 | $12,272 | $10,600 | $1,500 |
| 2024 | $2,338,457 | $2,319,907 | $18,550 | $25,000 | $2,037,670 |
Elections
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
Committees
- LAROSE FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $3,248,968 | $4,033,494 | 33 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | support | $50,000 | Digital Communications (estimate) |
| β | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | support | $10,152 | Digital Communications (estimate) |
| β | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | support | $8,753 | Text messaging |
| β | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | support | $30,000 | Digital Communications (estimate) |
| 2024-03-18 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | support | $29,915 | Peer-to-peer messaging |
| 2024-03-15 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | oppose | $450,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-03-13 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | oppose | $100,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-03-12 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | oppose | $1,381 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-03-08 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | oppose | $173,212 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-03-08 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | oppose | $800 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-03-08 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | oppose | $5,811 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-03-08 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | oppose | $109,500 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-03-08 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | oppose | $255,600 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-03-07 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | oppose | $516,667 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-03-07 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | oppose | $946,718 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-03-05 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | oppose | $475,533 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-03-04 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | oppose | $4,302 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-02-27 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | oppose | $124,793 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-02-12 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | oppose | $540,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-02-09 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | oppose | $2,508 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-02-08 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | oppose | $250,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-02-06 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | oppose | $65,487 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-01-25 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | support | $10,000 | Digitial advertising |
| 2024-01-25 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | support | $7,920 | Text messaging |
| 2024-01-22 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | support | $365,360 | TV placement and production |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-10 | CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UN⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2025-11-19 | POLITICAL EDUCATION PATTERNS POLITICAL ARM INTL⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (35)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $8,753 | fec_ies | |
| β | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $10,152 | fec_ies | |
| β | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-10 | CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UNITED BROTHERHOOD OF CARPENTERS AND JOINERS | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-19 | POLITICAL EDUCATION PATTERNS POLITICAL ARM INTL UNION OPERATING ENG LOCAL 18 | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2024-03-18 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $29,915 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-15 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $450,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-13 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-12 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $1,381 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-08 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | opposes_independently | $255,600 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-08 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $5,811 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-08 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $800 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-08 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | opposes_independently | $109,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-08 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | opposes_independently | $173,212 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-07 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $946,718 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-07 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $516,667 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-05 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $475,533 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-04 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $4,302 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-27 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $124,793 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-12 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | opposes_independently | $540,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-09 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $2,508 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-08 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | opposes_independently | $250,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-06 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $65,487 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-01-25 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $7,920 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-01-25 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-01-22 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $365,360 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-01-22 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $1,184,174 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-01-11 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $14,445 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-01-10 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $11,137 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-01-05 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $1,462,112 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-12-19 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-11-15 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | opposes_independently | $7,169 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-10-09 | LEADERSHIP FOR OHIO FUND | supports_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-18 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | opposes_independently | $4,013 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | LAROSE FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |