WRIGHT-MCDONALD, REECE MASTER
I Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4PA00253- Internal id
c3c7a92f-5671-46b5-a74c-a42051f1f831- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Pennsylvania. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 13,018,639 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $77,971 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,355 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.474 |
| Race | White alone | 74.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.3% |
| Household | Family households | 62.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.39 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $254,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,209 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 56.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.6% |
Elections
- 2024 general senate Β· PA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· PA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· PA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· PA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· PA-S β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 13.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.