GUTIERREZ, ROLAND
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4TX00755- Internal id
ed67d5d2-a433-40ec-82f3-85589ed6c1bd- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Texas. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 30,188,424 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $78,476 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,752 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.478 |
| Race | White alone | 48.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 39.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 23.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 17.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 64.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 28.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.3% |
| Household | Family households | 67.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.69 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $283,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,403 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $90 | $295 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $1,446,695 | $1,446,943 | $385 | $0 | $1,415,775 |
Elections
- 2024 general senate Β· TX-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· TX-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· TX-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· TX-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· TX-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· TX-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· TX-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· TX-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· TX-S β running
Committees
- ROLAND GUTIERREZ FOR TEXAS β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $101,181 | $0 | 34 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | NUESTRO PAC | support | $25,000 | Text Messages (Estimate) |
| β | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | support | $300 | Advertising - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | support | $333 | Translation Services - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | support | $800 | Staff Time - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | support | $1,000 | Staff Time - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | support | $300 | Printing - Estimate- 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $1,000 | Staff Time - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $3,375 | Staff Time - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $600 | Staff Time - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $333 | Translation Services - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $333 | Translation Services - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $333 | Translation Services - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $300 | Printing - Estimate- 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $300 | Phonebanking Software - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $300 | Advertising - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $800 | Staff Time - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| β | NUESTRO PAC | support | $10,000 | Media Production (Estimate) |
| β | NUESTRO PAC | support | $42,489 | Media Buy (Estimate) |
| 2024-02-21 | LUPE VOTES | support | $1,000 | Digital advertising (cost estimated) |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $300 | Advertising - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| 2024-02-17 | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | support | $333 | Translation Services - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| 2024-02-17 | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | support | $300 | Phonebanking Software - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $3,375 | Staff Time - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| 2024-02-17 | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | support | $3,375 | Staff Time - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | support | $1,000 | Staff Time - Estimate - 2/17 - 3/5 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (34)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | NUESTRO PAC | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | NUESTRO PAC | supports_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | NUESTRO PAC | supports_independently | $42,489 | fec_ies | |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $300 | fec_ies | |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $3,375 | fec_ies | |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $600 | fec_ies | |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $333 | fec_ies | |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $333 | fec_ies | |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $333 | fec_ies | |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $300 | fec_ies | |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $300 | fec_ies | |
| β | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $800 | fec_ies | |
| β | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | supports_independently | $333 | fec_ies | |
| β | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | supports_independently | $300 | fec_ies | |
| β | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | supports_independently | $300 | fec_ies | |
| β | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | supports_independently | $800 | fec_ies | |
| β | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-21 | LUPE VOTES | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $800 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $600 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | mentions_in_ie | $333 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | supports_independently | $333 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | supports_independently | $3,375 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | supports_independently | $600 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $333 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $300 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $333 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $300 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $300 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | supports_independently | $300 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | ASIAN AMERICANS FOR CHANGE FUND | supports_independently | $333 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-17 | NAKASEC ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $3,375 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROLAND GUTIERREZ FOR TEXAS | β | candidate_committees |