STAGGS, TRENT
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4UT00217- Internal id
b909575f-37bd-4141-b05a-8661694ccdee- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Utah. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 3,392,331 |
| People | Median age | 32 |
| Income | Median household income | $95,166 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,873 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.427 |
| Race | White alone | 78.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.0% |
| Household | Family households | 72.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.97 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $489,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,496 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $1,417,661 | $1,417,661 | $0 | $0 | $1,279,376 |
Elections
- 2024 general senate Β· UT-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· UT-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· UT-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· UT-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· UT-S β lost_general
Committees
- TRENT STAGGS FOR UTAH β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $895,397 | $1,914,107 | 45 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $2,600 | IE-STAGGS-DIGITAL MARKETING |
| 2024-06-21 | CONSERVATIVE VALUES FOR UTAH | oppose | $22,960 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-06-20 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | support | $5,000 | Web Ads |
| 2024-06-20 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | support | $2,500 | Polling |
| 2024-06-18 | CONSERVATIVE VALUES FOR UTAH | oppose | $100,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-06-18 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | support | $3,952 | Text Messages |
| 2024-06-17 | CONSERVATIVE VALUES FOR UTAH | oppose | $25,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-06-14 | CONSERVATIVE VALUES FOR UTAH | oppose | $100,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-06-14 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | oppose | $9,347 | IE-Staggs-Media Production |
| 2024-06-14 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | oppose | $136,996 | IE-Staggs-Direct Mail Printing & Postage |
| 2024-06-14 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | oppose | $136,996 | IE-Staggs-Direct Mail Printing & Postage |
| 2024-06-14 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | support | $74,500 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-06-14 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | support | $19,232 | Text Messages |
| 2024-06-14 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | support | $74,500 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-06-14 | CONSERVATIVE VALUES FOR UTAH | oppose | $11,535 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-06-14 | CONSERVATIVE VALUES FOR UTAH | oppose | $93,514 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-06-12 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $110 | IE- STAGGS - DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2024-06-12 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | support | $40,000 | Web Ads |
| 2024-06-11 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | support | $7,500 | Web Ads |
| 2024-06-11 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | support | $2,500 | Web Ads |
| 2024-06-11 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | support | $13,250 | Web Ads |
| 2024-06-11 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | support | $4,250 | Web Ads |
| 2024-06-11 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | support | $6,500 | Web Ads |
| 2024-06-11 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | support | $15,671 | Web Ads |
| 2024-06-05 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $67 | IE- STAGGS - DONATION PROCESSING |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (45)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $2,600 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-21 | CONSERVATIVE VALUES FOR UTAH | opposes_independently | $22,960 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-20 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $5,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-20 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $2,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-18 | CONSERVATIVE VALUES FOR UTAH | opposes_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-18 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $3,952 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-17 | CONSERVATIVE VALUES FOR UTAH | opposes_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | CONSERVATIVE VALUES FOR UTAH | opposes_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | opposes_independently | $9,347 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | opposes_independently | $136,996 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | opposes_independently | $136,996 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $74,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $19,232 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $74,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | CONSERVATIVE VALUES FOR UTAH | opposes_independently | $11,535 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | CONSERVATIVE VALUES FOR UTAH | opposes_independently | $93,514 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-12 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $110 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-12 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $40,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $7,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $2,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $13,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $4,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $6,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | BEEHIVE VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $15,671 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-05 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $67 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-04 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | opposes_independently | $1,247,677 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-31 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-30 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $90,642 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-29 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $247 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-24 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $481,538 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-22 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $305 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-14 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $367 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-08 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $165 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-24 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | opposes_independently | $2,474 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-24 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | opposes_independently | $319 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-19 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | opposes_independently | $2,032 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-19 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | opposes_independently | $319 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-19 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | opposes_independently | $2,474 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-19 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | opposes_independently | $2,474 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-12 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | opposes_independently | $2,032 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-12 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | opposes_independently | $640 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-12 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | opposes_independently | $2,474 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-08 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | opposes_independently | $4,948 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-08 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | opposes_independently | $4,948 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-08 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | opposes_independently | $4,948 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | TRENT STAGGS FOR UTAH | β | candidate_committees |