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BACKUS, JAN

D Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S4VT00058
Internal id
7954bfb2-1545-41af-9788-223306384acf
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Vermont. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation647,106
PeopleMedian age43
IncomeMedian household income$81,203
IncomePer-capita income$46,500
IncomeIn poverty10.1%
IncomeUnemployed3.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.453
RaceWhite alone90.7%
RaceBlack alone1.1%
RaceAsian alone1.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino2.6%
RaceTwo or more races5.5%
OriginForeign-born4.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home94.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home1.3%
EducationHigh school or higher70.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher43.8%
EducationAdvanced degree18.6%
HouseholdFamily households58.9%
HouseholdAvg household size2.28
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.4%
HousingMedian home value$316,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,234
HousingSingle-family detached67.3%
HousingBuilt before 19403.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.6%
HousingVacant units19.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.2%
HealthWith a disability14.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.2%
CommuteDrove alone68.5%
CommutePublic transit0.8%
CommuteWorked from home16.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2002$0$14,462$0$1,493$0
2000$236,436$226,365$7,231$14,096$118,242
1998$0$0$128$5,500$0
1996$9,263$12,701$128$5,500$2,105
1994$316,753$313,184$3,567$18,000$159,054

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofJAN BACKUS FOR UNITED STATES SENATEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofJAN BACKUS FOR SENATE COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees

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