HOVDE, ERIC
R Β· senate
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
S4WI00256- Internal id
e19e6b58-bc07-4577-8f33-59a9a11b7ba4- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Wisconsin. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 5,914,872 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $77,485 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,373 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.444 |
| Race | White alone | 80.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.4% |
| Household | Family households | 60.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.33 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $266,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,087 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $-1,746 | $123,450 | $10,164 | $20,000,000 | $-2,314 |
| 2024 | $31,958,333 | $31,822,973 | $135,360 | $20,000,000 | $9,292,283 |
Elections
- 2024 general senate Β· WI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WI-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· WI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WI-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· WI-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· WI-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· WI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WI-S β lost_general
Committees
- HOVDE FOR WI SENATE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2024 β principal Β· type S
- HOVDE FOR WISCONSIN β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $7,324,669 | $40,092,545 | 476 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $812,426 | Digital Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $11,686 | Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $999,340 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $13,218 | Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $14,200 | Digital Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $673,971 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $117,500 | Digital Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $8,200 | Digital Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $51,614 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $406,017 | Digital Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $51,614 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $381,947 | Digital Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $368,638 | Digital Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $3,750 | Digital Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $18,209 | Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $698,297 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $1,134,432 | Digital Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $2,904,617 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $5,000 | Digital Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $7,288 | Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $43,075 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $400,000 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $9,350 | Digital Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $44,088 | Digital Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WINSENATE | oppose | $993,600 | Digital Media Buy - Estimate |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-03 | LEADERSHIP AND ACCOUNTABILITY ARE NATIONAL KEYS⦠| 24K | $-5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $1,372,588 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $8,200 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $400,349 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $11,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $12,064 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $51,614 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $698,297 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $2,176,243 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $593,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $812,426 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $457,529 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $685,917 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $9,350 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $51,614 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $13,218 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $1,134,432 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $3,349,311 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $500,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $18,209 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $3,750 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $85,245 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $13,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $570,148 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $400,349 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $310,571 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $14,813 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $249,835 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $993,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $2,904,617 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $381,947 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $999,340 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $11,686 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $14,200 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $5,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $5,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $400,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $144,486 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $12,171 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $117,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $673,971 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $406,017 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $368,638 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $43,075 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $7,288 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $44,088 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $21,314 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $3,131,020 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $32,046 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $19,561 | fec_ies | |
| β | WINSENATE | opposes_independently | $24,200 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $2,591 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $2,575 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $1,875 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $33 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $1,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $2,575 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,193 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | supports_independently | $15,545 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | supports_independently | $2,591 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | supports_independently | $2,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | supports_independently | $7,772 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | supports_independently | $5,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $891 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,843 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $544 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $827 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $923 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $2,254 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,297 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $3,315 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $630 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,098 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | opposes_independently | $894 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $2,359 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,349 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,742 | fec_ies | |
| β | RED SENATE | supports_independently | $1,222 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $58 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $510 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $61 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $99 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $84 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $23 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $85 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $47 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $16 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $65 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $319 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $534 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $90,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $88 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $59 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $184 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $88 | fec_ies | |
| β | POWER TO THE POLLS FEDERAL FUND | opposes_independently | $18 | fec_ies |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HOVDE FOR WISCONSIN | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | HOVDE FOR WI SENATE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2024 | β | candidate_committees |