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TENNANT, NATALIE

D Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S4WV00183
Internal id
ec2417b8-17cb-4130-95ed-4db8369d5fdd
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), West Virginia. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation1,778,373
PeopleMedian age43
IncomeMedian household income$59,608
IncomePer-capita income$34,203
IncomeIn poverty16.7%
IncomeUnemployed5.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.471
RaceWhite alone90.3%
RaceBlack alone3.2%
RaceAsian alone0.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino2.1%
RaceTwo or more races4.9%
OriginForeign-born1.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home97.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home1.2%
EducationHigh school or higher63.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher24.1%
EducationAdvanced degree9.7%
HouseholdFamily households62.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.37
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.1%
HousingMedian home value$162,600
HousingMedian gross rent$872
HousingSingle-family detached70.9%
HousingBuilt before 19406.6%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.3%
HousingVacant units15.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.4%
HealthWith a disability19.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband86.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet10.9%
CommuteDrove alone78.1%
CommutePublic transit0.5%
CommuteWorked from home9.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2020$0$2,456$0$0$0
2018$0$13,685$2,101$0$0
2016$7,823$107,986$15,786$0$0
2014$3,677,175$3,561,222$115,951$0$2,840,900

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (12)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofSECURE OUR SENATE 2014β€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofDEMOCRATIC VICTORY 2014β€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofOFF THE SIDELINES SENATE 2014β€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofALASKA WEST VIRGINIA VICTORY COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofWOMEN ON THE ROAD TO THE SENATE: 16 AND COUNTING- SAN FRANCISCOβ€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofGRASSROOTS VICTORY PROJECT 2014β€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofWV SENATE VICTORY 2014β€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofBLUE SENATE 2014β€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofWOMEN ON THE ROAD TO THE SENATE: 16 AND COUNTING - LOS ANGELESβ€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofGEORGIA WEST VIRGINIA VICTORY FUNDβ€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofWOMEN ON THE ROAD TO THE SENATE: 16 AND COUNTING - SEATTLEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofNATALIE TENNANT FOR SENATEβ€”candidate_committees

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