MCKINNEY, BRYAN
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4WV00365- Internal id
9a2e3a67-c623-452f-ab92-d1c3341f7660- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), West Virginia. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,778,373 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $59,608 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,203 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.471 |
| Race | White alone | 90.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 2.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 1.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 97.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.7% |
| Household | Family households | 62.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $162,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $872 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 15.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 19.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 78.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $7,225 | $6,781 | $135 | $0 | $135 |
Elections
- 2024 general senate Β· WV-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· WV-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WV-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WV-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· WV-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WV-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WV-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· WV-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· WV-S β lost_general
- 2026 general senate Β· WV-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· WV-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· WV-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· WV-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· WV-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· WV-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· WV-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· WV-S β running
Committees
- THE COMMITTEE TO ELECT BRYAN MCKINNEY TO THE US SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | THE COMMITTEE TO ELECT BRYAN MCKINNEY TO THE US SENATE | β | candidate_committees |