CHENEY, ELIZABETH (LIZ)

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S4WY00089
Internal id: 58d38a4d-6f4f-4805-816d-ff28491ad9bc
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Wyoming. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	582,397
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$76,176
Income	Per-capita income	$42,668
Income	In poverty	10.5%
Income	Unemployed	3.7%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.454
Race	White alone	84.5%
Race	Black alone	0.9%
Race	Asian alone	0.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	10.7%
Race	Two or more races	8.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	3.5%
Language	Speaks English only at home	93.2%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	4.8%
Education	High school or higher	58.1%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	30.6%
Education	Advanced degree	11.5%
Household	Family households	61.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.34
Household	Never married (15+)	28.1%
Housing	Median home value	$309,700
Housing	Median gross rent	$992
Housing	Single-family detached	67.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.9%
Housing	Vacant units	12.2%
Service	Veterans (18+)	9.0%
Health	With a disability	14.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.1%
Commute	Drove alone	74.8%
Commute	Public transit	0.9%
Commute	Worked from home	9.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2014	$1,811,474	$1,811,475	$0	$0	$1,657,387

Elections

2014 general senate · WY-S — lost_general
2014 general senate · WY-S — lost_general
2014 general senate · WY-S — lost_general

Committees

CHENEY FOR WYOMING — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$0	$44,935	4

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-08-12	OUTRIDER PAC	oppose	$11,250	Radio Ads
2022-07-28	OUTRIDER PAC	oppose	$17,052	Direct Mail
2022-06-16	OUTRIDER PAC	oppose	$8,317	Radio Ads
2022-06-16	OUTRIDER PAC	oppose	$8,317	Radio Ads

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	FEDUP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE AKA FEDUP PAC	24A	$695
2022-06-16	OUTRIDER PAC	24A	$8,316

Connected on the graph

Inbound (6)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	FEDUP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE AKA FEDUP PAC	contributed_to	$695	pas2
2022-08-12	OUTRIDER PAC	opposes_independently	$11,250	fec_ies
2022-07-28	OUTRIDER PAC	opposes_independently	$17,052	fec_ies
2022-06-16	OUTRIDER PAC	opposes_independently	$8,317	fec_ies
2022-06-16	OUTRIDER PAC	opposes_independently	$8,317	fec_ies
2022-06-16	OUTRIDER PAC	contributed_to	$8,316	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	CHENEY FOR WYOMING	—		candidate_committees

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