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JENKINS, JENNIFER

D Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S6FL00798
Internal id
9ac2969d-7064-489c-972c-2841e6c0b6f1
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Florida. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation22,416,077
PeopleMedian age43
IncomeMedian household income$74,568
IncomePer-capita income$42,609
IncomeIn poverty12.6%
IncomeUnemployed4.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.485
RaceWhite alone55.9%
RaceBlack alone15.1%
RaceAsian alone2.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino27.4%
RaceTwo or more races19.4%
OriginForeign-born21.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home69.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home22.6%
EducationHigh school or higher61.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher34.1%
EducationAdvanced degree12.9%
HouseholdFamily households64.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.51
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.7%
HousingMedian home value$359,000
HousingMedian gross rent$1,669
HousingSingle-family detached54.7%
HousingBuilt before 19401.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.3%
HousingVacant units14.7%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.4%
HealthWith a disability13.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.5%
CommuteDrove alone70.2%
CommutePublic transit1.2%
CommuteWorked from home15.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$565,267$313,836$251,432$0$558,267

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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