RIVERA, ERNEST ERNIE JOHN REV. DR.
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S6FL00897- Internal id
c6a5447a-a8d5-43cd-9f4d-b5b3a2cd3e17- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Florida. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 22,416,077 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $74,568 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,609 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.485 |
| Race | White alone | 55.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 27.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 21.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 69.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 22.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.9% |
| Household | Family households | 64.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.51 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $359,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,669 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 54.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.7% |
Elections
- 2026 general senate Β· FL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· FL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· FL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· FL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· FL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· FL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· FL-S β running
Committees
- ERNIE 4 SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ERNIE 4 SENATE | β | candidate_committees |