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CARLIN, JAMES

R Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S6IA00249
Internal id
4f675818-3e5d-4f48-80c6-10517cb6e457
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Iowa. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation3,210,507
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$75,059
IncomePer-capita income$40,877
IncomeIn poverty11.1%
IncomeUnemployed3.6%
IncomeGini inequality index0.444
RaceWhite alone84.2%
RaceBlack alone3.9%
RaceAsian alone2.5%
RaceHispanic or Latino7.3%
RaceTwo or more races6.6%
OriginForeign-born5.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home90.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home4.7%
EducationHigh school or higher61.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher31.4%
EducationAdvanced degree10.5%
HouseholdFamily households61.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.36
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.8%
HousingMedian home value$208,000
HousingMedian gross rent$972
HousingSingle-family detached72.2%
HousingBuilt before 19404.6%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.6%
HousingVacant units8.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.5%
HealthWith a disability12.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband88.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.5%
CommuteDrove alone76.0%
CommutePublic transit0.7%
CommuteWorked from home11.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$293,966$279,387$14,579$193,506$103,031

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee JIM CARLIN FOR US SENATE.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
CARLIN, JAMESβ€”SIOUX CITY, IA1$1,000
GRAU, HARLANβ€”NEWELL, IA1$400
GARBE, RICHARDβ€”SIOUX CITY, IA1$100

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofJIM CARLIN FOR US SENATEβ€”candidate_committees

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