SAGE, NATHAN

D · senate

FEC candidate id: S6IA00256
Internal id: cbff8ab0-6d17-4266-84fd-a19100c3bb28
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Iowa. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	3,210,507
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$75,059
Income	Per-capita income	$40,877
Income	In poverty	11.1%
Income	Unemployed	3.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.444
Race	White alone	84.2%
Race	Black alone	3.9%
Race	Asian alone	2.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	7.3%
Race	Two or more races	6.6%
Origin	Foreign-born	5.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	90.9%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	4.7%
Education	High school or higher	61.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	31.4%
Education	Advanced degree	10.5%
Household	Family households	61.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.36
Household	Never married (15+)	31.8%
Housing	Median home value	$208,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$972
Housing	Single-family detached	72.2%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.6%
Housing	Vacant units	8.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.5%
Health	With a disability	12.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.5%
Commute	Drove alone	76.0%
Commute	Public transit	0.7%
Commute	Worked from home	11.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$1,432,562	$1,432,460	$102	$6,822	$1,397,235

Elections

2026 general senate · IA-S — running
2026 general senate · IA-S — running
2026 general senate · IA-S — running
2026 general senate · IA-S — running
2026 general senate · IA-S — running
2026 general senate · IA-S — running
2026 general senate · IA-S — running
2026 general senate · IA-S — running

Committees

SAGE FOR SENATE — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-12-19	THE MAJORITY RULES	24K	$250
2025-10-03	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	24K	$50
2025-09-22	COUNTRY FIRST	24K	$2,500
2025-06-27	FUELING INDIVIDUAL RIGHTS EVERYWHERE (FIRE) PAC	24K	$1,000
2025-05-27	THERESA GREENFIELD FOR IOWA	24K	$2,000
2025-04-18	THE MAJORITY RULES	24K	$1,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee SAGE FOR SENATE.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
SHENKER, SCOTT	ICSI · SCIENTIST	BERKELEY, CA	1	$7,000
QUINN, MARY RUTH	SELF · PASTORAL COUNSELOR	BERKELEY, CA	1	$3,500
SOUTHWELL, LAURIE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	VANCOUVER, WA	1	$2,000
WEITZ, FRED	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	DES MOINES, IA	1	$500
COOLEY, JENNIFER	NORTH IOWA ANESTHESIA ASSOCIATES · CRNA	MASON CITY, IA	1	$500
STONE BELIC, ELLEN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CHICAGO, IL	1	$500
WRIGHT, JUDY	INTELLIGENT COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS · SYSTEMS ENGINEER	FOUNTAIN HILL, PA	1	$250
GRISWOLD, MARGOT	LAND IQ LLC · ECOLOGIST	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$250
BOWMAN, RACHAEL	SELF · INVESTOR	REDWOOD CITY, CA	1	$250
ORR, LEE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SCOTTDALE, GA	4	$135
TILLERY, JEFF	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CHICAGO, IL	1	$100
HENLEY, DONALD H.	SELF · RECORDING ARTIST	CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA	1	$100
WERRY, JOHN	EMPLOYER · EMPLOYED	KITTY HAWK, NC	1	$100
NEWARK, WILLIAM	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PHILADELPHIA, PA	1	$100
BARTLETT DANIELS, BONNIE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	STUDIO CITY, CA	1	$100
MENDEZ, BRIAN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SAN FERNANDO, CA	1	$100
MCINTOSH, ROBERT	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SANTA ROSA, CA	1	$100
KIRKLIN, EDWARD	HOLMES MURPHY · INSURANCE BROKER	SCOTTSDALE, AZ	1	$100
MEGYAS, ANN C	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NEW YORK, NY	1	$100
HEMINGWAY, DAVID	FEDERAL PUBLIC DEFENDERS · RESEARCH ATTORNEY	SAINT LOUIS, MO	2	$100
HADLEY, STEVE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$100
FRIEDRICHSEN, TIM	AMICUS LAW GROUP · ATTORNEY	SEATTLE, WA	1	$100
MEHLMAUER, MARILYN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SAN CLEMENTE, CA	1	$100
RUSSO, THOMAS	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	MESA, AZ	1	$100
WORK, KELLY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	DUBUQUE, IA	2	$75

Connected on the graph

Inbound (6)

date	from	type	amount	source
2025-12-19	THE MAJORITY RULES	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2025-10-03	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2025-09-22	COUNTRY FIRST	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-06-27	FUELING INDIVIDUAL RIGHTS EVERYWHERE (FIRE) PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-05-27	THERESA GREENFIELD FOR IOWA	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-04-18	THE MAJORITY RULES	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	SAGE FOR SENATE	—		candidate_committees

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