EVANS, JOHN VICTOR
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S6ID00013- Internal id
45037f37-32f9-4821-a5a6-02eaddf51260- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Idaho. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,934,262 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $77,800 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,952 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.444 |
| Race | White alone | 81.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 13.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.5% |
| Household | Family households | 68.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.64 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $418,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,238 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 73.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | $5,666 | $976 | $59,060 | $0 | $0 |
| 2006 | $10,104 | $9,437 | $58,155 | $0 | $0 |
| 2004 | $6,700 | $6,854 | $58,620 | $0 | $0 |
| 2002 | $9,139 | $7,099 | $57,815 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $5,602 | $4,871 | $55,775 | $0 | $0 |
| 1998 | $6,625 | $5,197 | $55,043 | $0 | $0 |
| 1996 | $7,593 | $4,581 | $53,614 | $0 | $0 |
| 1994 | $4,846 | $5,252 | $50,601 | $0 | $0 |
| 1992 | $6,176 | $7,737 | $51,005 | $0 | $300 |
| 1990 | $14,861 | $19,546 | $52,565 | $0 | $0 |
| 1988 | $25,693 | $22,671 | $57,249 | $0 | $575 |
| 1986 | $2,189,756 | $2,135,528 | $54,227 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β lost_general
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β lost_general
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β lost_general
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β lost_general
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β lost_general
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β lost_general
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β lost_general
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β lost_general
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β lost_general
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β lost_general
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
- 1986 general senate Β· ID-S β running
Committees
- JOHN EVANS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE β principal Β· type N
- JOHN EVANS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE β independent Β· type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | JOHN EVANS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOHN EVANS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |