SCHILLING, JOSEPH DAVID
OTHER Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S6IL00417- Internal id
681a94fa-47b3-419a-8d4c-a865e963b3b1- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Illinois. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 12,694,798 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $83,390 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,406 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.481 |
| Race | White alone | 61.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 13.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 14.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 76.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 14.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.3% |
| Household | Family households | 62.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.46 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $263,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,274 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 58.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 5.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.9% |
Elections
- 2026 general senate Β· IL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· IL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· IL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· IL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· IL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· IL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· IL-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· IL-S β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 8.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.