ROMANS, DALE

D · senate

FEC candidate id: S6KY00369
Internal id: 479b1e09-3be9-48ea-acdd-f3889aab933c
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Kentucky. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	4,534,824
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$63,726
Income	Per-capita income	$35,821
Income	In poverty	16.1%
Income	Unemployed	4.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.477
Race	White alone	82.6%
Race	Black alone	7.7%
Race	Asian alone	1.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	5.0%
Race	Two or more races	6.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	4.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	93.2%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	3.4%
Education	High school or higher	60.1%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	27.6%
Education	Advanced degree	11.3%
Household	Family households	63.9%
Household	Avg household size	2.43
Household	Never married (15+)	30.1%
Housing	Median home value	$205,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$967
Housing	Single-family detached	67.5%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.0%
Housing	Vacant units	10.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.5%
Health	With a disability	17.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.6%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.6%
Commute	Drove alone	76.6%
Commute	Public transit	0.6%
Commute	Worked from home	10.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$831,756	$600,764	$230,992	$230,000	$598,256

Elections

2026 general senate · KY-S — running
2026 general senate · KY-S — running
2026 general senate · KY-S — running
2026 general senate · KY-S — running
2026 general senate · KY-S — running
2026 general senate · KY-S — running
2026 general senate · KY-S — running
2026 general senate · KY-S — running

Committees

DALE ROMANS FOR KENTUCKY — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$10,500	$0	1

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2026-05-04	WIRE TO WIRE FOR KENTUCKY	support	$10,500	Advertising Production Costs

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-12-18	THE JOCKEY CLUB PAC	24K	$3,500

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee DALE ROMANS FOR KENTUCKY.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
MURPHY, DAN	SEA WARRIOR STABLES LLC · OWNER	CORAL GABLES, FL	2	$7,000
HOLLIDAY, MARC	SL GREEN REALTY CORP. · CHAIRMAN AND CEO	NEW YORK, NY	2	$7,000
HOLLIDAY, SHEREE	SELF · HOME MAKER	SCARSDALE, NY	2	$7,000
PLETCHER, TODD	SELF · HORSE TRAINER	DELRAY BEACH, FL	2	$7,000
MURPHY, CATHLEEN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CORAL GABLES, FL	2	$7,000
ROMANS, BRUCE	SELF · WRITER	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$3,500
NIXON, MARY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	LOUISVILLE, KY	1	$2,000
GOLDBERG, DAVID	BANIJAY · EXECUTIVE	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$1,000
GOLDSTEIN, MICHAEL A.	SELF · LAWYER	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$1,000
SHIFLETT, OWEN	BLUE MONDAY PRODUCTIONS · PRODUCER	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$1,000
ROSENBERG, LEE	ROSENBERG ADVISORY · ADVISOR	CHICAGO, IL	1	$1,000
WOLFSON, KATRINKA	KATRINKA WOLFSON · REAL ESTATE INVESTOR	SANTA MONICA, CA	1	$1,000
COGGESHALL, LORI	MOI · WRITER	NORTH HOLLYWOOD, CA	1	$500
HENDERSON, FELICIA D	WATERWALK ENTERTAINMENT INC. · WRITER	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$500
SIEGEL, STEVE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NEW YORK, NY	1	$500
DUNN, JAMES	SELF · SCREENWRITER	ALTADENA, CA	1	$500
BATES, LISA	NONE · STUDENT	STUDIO CITY, CA	1	$300
MORETTI, PIPER	SELF · REALTOR	REDONDO BEACH, CA	1	$250
PREVOST, WILLIAM	SELF · BUSINESS OWNER	STUDIO CITY, CA	1	$250
RIDEAU, LILA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	VALENCIA, CA	1	$250
METZGER, LEE	LUCKY HORSESHOE PRODUCTIONS · PRODUCER	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$250
LIGHTFOOT, ISABEL	CROSS COUNTRY · COUNSELOR	STUDIO CITY, CA	1	$250
SEIDEL, SCOTT	WME ENTERTAINMENT · AGENT	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$250
SELICK, NAOMI	DOUGLAS ELLIMAN · REALTOR	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$250
JONES-MORALES, MICHAEL	PAGE BY PAGE PRODUCTIONS · WRITER	SANTA MONICA, CA	1	$250

Connected on the graph

Inbound (2)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2026-05-04	WIRE TO WIRE FOR KENTUCKY	supports_independently	$10,500		fec_ies
2025-12-18	THE JOCKEY CLUB PAC	contributed_to	$3,500		pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	DALE ROMANS FOR KENTUCKY	—		candidate_committees

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