FLEMING, JOHN C. JR.
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S6LA00318- Internal id
8c79a6c6-f621-44b0-a035-77e679179bc3- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Louisiana. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 4,611,961 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $60,756 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,038 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.495 |
| Race | White alone | 56.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 30.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.1% |
| Household | Family households | 62.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.49 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $216,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,064 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 78.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $11,250,354 | $9,879,986 | $1,389,264 | $3,654,723 | $616,854 |
| 2024 | $36,285 | $17,446 | $18,896 | $528,998 | $4,285 |
| 2022 | $0 | $15 | $58 | $498,998 | $0 |
| 2020 | $0 | $30 | $73 | $498,998 | $0 |
| 2018 | $10,533 | $14,563 | $103 | $498,998 | $3,702 |
| 2016 | $5,033,352 | $5,029,217 | $4,135 | $500,000 | $1,956,394 |
Elections
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β lost_general
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β lost_general
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β running
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β lost_general
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β lost_general
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β running
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β running
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β running
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β lost_general
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β lost_general
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β running
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β lost_general
- 2016 general senate Β· LA-S β lost_general
- 2026 general senate Β· LA-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· LA-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· LA-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· LA-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· LA-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· LA-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· LA-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· LA-S β running
Committees
- FLEMING FOR LOUISIANA β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | 24K | $500 |
| 2025-12-12 | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | 24K | $500 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee FLEMING FOR LOUISIANA.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUNDRICK, W. STEWART DR. JR. | WKMC Β· MD | BOSSIER CITY, LA | 1 | $3,500 |
| FREY, SHANE | SELF Β· FREY DEVELOPMENT | EUNICE, LA | 1 | $3,000 |
| BASS, EDWARD FOLLETT | BASS & BASS Β· PRESIDENT | LAKE CHARLES, LA | 1 | $1,000 |
| SMITH, KATHRYN R. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | SHREVEPORT, LA | 1 | $1,000 |
| HUVAL, DAVID S. SR. | HUVAL & ASSOCIATES Β· ENGINEER | LAFAYETTE, LA | 1 | $1,000 |
| WILLIAMS, R. BRUCE MD | DELTA Β· PHYSICIAN | LITTLE ROCK, AR | 1 | $500 |
| HILTON, DAVID L. DR. MD | SELF Β· PHYSICIAN | SHREVEPORT, LA | 1 | $500 |
| WORLEY, N. KNIGHT DR. MD | WORLEY MAGNE ENT Β· MD | NEW ORLEANS, LA | 1 | $300 |
| HAJDU, NICHOLAS A. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | NEW ORLEANS, LA | 1 | $250 |
| RAPHAEL, GARY J | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | METAIRIE, LA | 1 | $100 |
| ABINGTON, LEONARD PETE MR. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | MANY, LA | 1 | $100 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-12 | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FLEMING FOR LOUISIANA | β | candidate_committees |