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MIGUEZ, BLAKE

R Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S6LA00540
Internal id
63c57d13-284c-462f-a4e1-89c27a747f97
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Louisiana. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation4,611,961
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$60,756
IncomePer-capita income$35,038
IncomeIn poverty18.9%
IncomeUnemployed6.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.495
RaceWhite alone56.9%
RaceBlack alone30.7%
RaceAsian alone1.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino7.2%
RaceTwo or more races7.4%
OriginForeign-born4.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home91.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home4.7%
EducationHigh school or higher59.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher27.0%
EducationAdvanced degree10.1%
HouseholdFamily households62.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.49
HouseholdNever married (15+)36.4%
HousingMedian home value$216,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,064
HousingSingle-family detached65.3%
HousingBuilt before 19403.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.3%
HousingVacant units14.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.1%
HealthWith a disability16.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband86.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet10.7%
CommuteDrove alone78.6%
CommutePublic transit0.9%
CommuteWorked from home8.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$6,176,130$2,188,998$3,987,132$3,013,458$3,085,544

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2026$500,000$2,0634

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2026-04-09FELLOWSHIP PACsupport$250,000Advertising
2026-04-09FELLOWSHIP PACsupport$250,000Advertising
2025-10-274THE56oppose$900Broadcasting Service
2025-08-134THE56oppose$1,163Broadcasting Service

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2026-02-23MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC24K$5,000
2026-02-19CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC24K$1,000
2026-02-11CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC24K$3,500
2025-12-10CRESCENT RIVER PORT PILOTS ASSOCIATION FEDERAL …24K$5,000
2025-12-04VIEMED, INC. PAC24K$1,500
2025-12-04VIEMED, INC. PAC24K$3,500
2025-11-10ASIAN AMERICAN HOTEL OWNERS ASSOCIATION PAC (AA…24K$5,000
2025-10-274THE5624A$900
2025-08-134THE5624A$1,162
2025-06-23GATORPAC24K$5,000
2025-06-23GATORPAC24K$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (15)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2026-04-09FELLOWSHIP PACsupports_independently$250,000fec_ies
2026-04-09FELLOWSHIP PACsupports_independently$250,000fec_ies
2026-02-23MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2026-02-19CLUB FOR GROWTH PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2026-02-11CLUB FOR GROWTH PACcontributed_to$3,500pas2
2025-12-10CRESCENT RIVER PORT PILOTS ASSOCIATION FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE/CRPPA FED PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-12-04VIEMED, INC. PACcontributed_to$3,500pas2
2025-12-04VIEMED, INC. PACcontributed_to$1,500pas2
2025-11-10ASIAN AMERICAN HOTEL OWNERS ASSOCIATION PAC (AAHOA PAC)contributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-10-274THE56opposes_independently$900fec_ies
2025-10-274THE56contributed_to$900pas2
2025-08-134THE56contributed_to$1,162pas2
2025-08-134THE56opposes_independently$1,163fec_ies
2025-06-23GATORPACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-06-23GATORPACcontributed_to$5,000pas2

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