JOHNSON II, CRAIG HENLEY MR II
I Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S6MI00475- Internal id
e3330056-43b8-47b2-9a9c-c22594bed0ca- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Michigan. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 10,077,761 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,875 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,735 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 73.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 13.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.7% |
| Household | Family households | 62.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $231,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,129 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 72.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.5% |
Elections
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· MI-S β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 8.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.