OVERBY, PAULA M.
OTHER Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S6MN00416- Internal id
f153abbb-b0eb-47d7-8d9c-3402dfa2275d- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Minnesota. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 5,739,445 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $89,062 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $48,237 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 77.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 7.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.8% |
| Household | Family households | 62.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.43 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $329,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,280 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.6% |
Elections
- 2018 general senate Β· MN-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MN-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MN-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MN-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MN-S β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 13.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $34,100 | $0 | 3 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | RIGHT NOW USA | support | $2,600 | Online Advertising |
| β | RIGHT NOW USA | support | $15,750 | Online Advertising |
| β | RIGHT NOW USA | support | $15,750 | Online Advertising |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | RIGHT NOW USA | supports_independently | $2,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | RIGHT NOW USA | supports_independently | $15,750 | fec_ies | |
| β | RIGHT NOW USA | supports_independently | $15,750 | fec_ies |