REHBERG, DENNIS RAY
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S6MT00097- Internal id
049dba37-ad8d-450e-9485-ad71a4dbccca- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Montana. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,116,875 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,509 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,711 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 85.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.0% |
| Household | Family households | 60.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $375,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,081 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $0 | $1,055 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $0 | $0 | $1,055 | $202,992 | $0 |
| 2020 | $3 | $4,487 | $1,055 | $202,992 | $0 |
| 2018 | $9,279 | $5,500 | $5,484 | $202,992 | $0 |
| 2016 | $0 | $60 | $1,705 | $202,992 | $0 |
| 2014 | $130,949 | $162,923 | $1,766 | $202,992 | $73,106 |
| 2012 | $9,560,983 | $9,526,859 | $33,743 | $191,189 | $6,649,583 |
| 1998 | $124,814 | $136,173 | $6 | $0 | $1,950 |
| 1996 | $1,369,530 | $1,358,165 | $11,365 | $131,518 | $854,353 |
Elections
- 1996 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 1996 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 1996 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 1996 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 1996 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 1996 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 1996 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β running
Committees
- AYOTTE FLAKE & REHBERG VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- BARRASSO & REHBERG JOINT COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- BERG HELLER & REHBERG VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- BERG LINGLE MANDEL REHBERG VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- BERG MANDEL REHBERG COMMITTEE 2012 β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- FOUNDERS' COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- LEGACY VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- MONTANANS FOR REHBERG β principal Β· type S
- REHBERG MONTANA VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- REHBERG VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (10)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | REHBERG MONTANA VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BERG HELLER & REHBERG VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BARRASSO & REHBERG JOINT COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BERG MANDEL REHBERG COMMITTEE 2012 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BERG LINGLE MANDEL REHBERG VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | AYOTTE FLAKE & REHBERG VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | THE FOUNDERS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | REHBERG VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | LEGACY VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | MONTANANS FOR REHBERG | β | candidate_committees |