BANKHEAD, ALANI INES

D · senate

FEC candidate id: S6MT00253
Internal id: 4fafdca7-123c-4b4f-b219-06a4186661b1
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Montana. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	1,116,875
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$72,509
Income	Per-capita income	$41,711
Income	In poverty	11.5%
Income	Unemployed	3.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.465
Race	White alone	85.0%
Race	Black alone	0.5%
Race	Asian alone	0.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	4.6%
Race	Two or more races	6.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	2.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	95.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	1.4%
Education	High school or higher	62.7%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.2%
Education	Advanced degree	12.0%
Household	Family households	60.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.37
Household	Never married (15+)	30.2%
Housing	Median home value	$375,800
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,081
Housing	Single-family detached	68.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.5%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.8%
Housing	Vacant units	13.2%
Service	Veterans (18+)	9.0%
Health	With a disability	14.5%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.7%
Commute	Drove alone	71.1%
Commute	Public transit	0.6%
Commute	Worked from home	12.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$15,240	$5,775	$10,625	$0	$11,231

Elections

2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running

Committees

FRIENDS OF ALANI BANKHEAD — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$592,022	$0	5

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2026-05-14	PROGRESSIVE VET PAC	support	$97,000	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-11	PROGRESSIVE VET PAC	support	$111,275	Digital Advertising Buy (Estimate)
2026-05-08	PROGRESSIVE VET PAC	support	$98,190	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-05	PROGRESSIVE VET PAC	support	$97,382	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-01	PROGRESSIVE VET PAC	support	$188,175	Digital Advertising Buy & Production (Estimate)

Connected on the graph

Inbound (5)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-05-14	PROGRESSIVE VET PAC	supports_independently	$97,000	fec_ies
2026-05-11	PROGRESSIVE VET PAC	supports_independently	$111,275	fec_ies
2026-05-08	PROGRESSIVE VET PAC	supports_independently	$98,190	fec_ies
2026-05-05	PROGRESSIVE VET PAC	supports_independently	$97,382	fec_ies
2026-05-01	PROGRESSIVE VET PAC	supports_independently	$188,175	fec_ies

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	FRIENDS OF ALANI BANKHEAD	—		candidate_committees

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