ALME, KURT

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S6MT00295
Internal id: af736f43-2363-4fd7-8927-36bac502e014
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Montana. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	1,116,875
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$72,509
Income	Per-capita income	$41,711
Income	In poverty	11.5%
Income	Unemployed	3.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.465
Race	White alone	85.0%
Race	Black alone	0.5%
Race	Asian alone	0.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	4.6%
Race	Two or more races	6.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	2.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	95.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	1.4%
Education	High school or higher	62.7%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.2%
Education	Advanced degree	12.0%
Household	Family households	60.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.37
Household	Never married (15+)	30.2%
Housing	Median home value	$375,800
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,081
Housing	Single-family detached	68.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.5%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.8%
Housing	Vacant units	13.2%
Service	Veterans (18+)	9.0%
Health	With a disability	14.5%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.7%
Commute	Drove alone	71.1%
Commute	Public transit	0.6%
Commute	Worked from home	12.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$924,644	$15,687	$908,957	$0	$355,576

Elections

2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running
2026 general senate · MT-S — running

Committees

ALME FOR SENATE — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$413,925	$200,000	6

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$12,125	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$300,000	MEDIA PLACEMENT
2026-05-11	MONTANA FREEDOM PAC	oppose	$100,000	Digital Buy
2026-05-07	MONTANA FREEDOM PAC	support	$100,000	Digital Buy
2026-05-07	MONTANA FREEDOM PAC	oppose	$100,000	Digital Buy
2026-05-06	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$1,800	MEDIA PRODUCTION

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	JBS USA FOOD COMPANY PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-03-31	NRSC	24K	$62,000
2026-03-31	WORKING FOR OHIO	24K	$5,000
2026-03-27	JOBS OPPORTUNITY NOW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2026-03-27	GLAXOSMITHKLINE LLC PAC (GSK PAC)	24K	$2,000
2026-03-27	JOBS OPPORTUNITY NOW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2026-03-26	PRAYERIE PAC	24K	$3,500
2026-03-26	PAC FOR AMERICA	24K	$5,000
2026-03-26	YOPAC	24K	$1,000
2026-03-26	BADLANDS PAC	24K	$1,500
2026-03-25	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF WHOLESALER-DISTRIBUTORS…	24K	$5,000
2026-03-25	NATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS COOPERATIVE ASSOCIA…	24K	$2,000
2026-03-23	LEADERSHIP AND ACCOUNTABILITY ARE NATIONAL KEYS…	24K	$5,000
2026-03-23	LEADERSHIP AND ACCOUNTABILITY ARE NATIONAL KEYS…	24K	$5,000
2026-03-23	ARKANSAS FOR LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$5,000
2026-03-23	ARKANSAS FOR LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$5,000
2026-03-23	JBS USA FOOD COMPANY PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-03-19	NASDAQ, INC. PAC (NASDAQ PAC)	24K	$1,000
2026-03-19	PLAIN STATE PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-03-18	STEER PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-03-18	STEER PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-03-16	ALAMO PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-03-15	OORAH! POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2026-03-15	OORAH! POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2026-03-13	THE HAWKEYE PAC	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (49)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$12,125	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$300,000	fec_ies
2026-05-11	MONTANA FREEDOM FUND	opposes_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
2026-05-07	MONTANA FREEDOM FUND	opposes_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
2026-05-07	MONTANA FREEDOM FUND	supports_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
2026-05-06	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
2026-03-31	NRSC	contributed_to	$62,000	pas2
2026-03-31	WORKING FOR OHIO	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-31	JBS USA FOOD COMPANY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-27	GLAXOSMITHKLINE LLC PAC (GSK PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-27	JOBS OPPORTUNITY NOW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-27	JOBS OPPORTUNITY NOW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-26	PRAYERIE PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-26	YOPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-26	COMMITTEE FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-26	BADLANDS PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2026-03-25	NATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION RURAL BROADBAND PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-25	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF WHOLESALER-DISTRIBUTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-23	LEADERSHIP AND ACCOUNTABILITY ARE NATIONAL KEYS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-23	JBS USA FOOD COMPANY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-23	ARKANSAS FOR LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ARKPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-23	ARKANSAS FOR LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ARKPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-23	LEADERSHIP AND ACCOUNTABILITY ARE NATIONAL KEYS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-19	NASDAQ, INC. PAC (NASDAQ PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-19	PLAIN STATE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-18	STEER PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-18	STEER PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-16	ALAMO PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-15	OORAH! POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-15	OORAH! POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	SEND IN THE SEAL PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	HEARTLAND VALUES PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	HEARTLAND VALUES PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	TOMORROW IS MEANINGFUL PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	TOMORROW IS MEANINGFUL PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	COMMON VALUES PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	COMMON VALUES PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	AMERICAN EXCELLENCE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	AMERICAN EXCELLENCE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	THE HAWKEYE FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	SENATE EAGLE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	SENATE EAGLE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-13	SEND IN THE SEAL PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-12	BUILDING UP DEMOCRACY'S DREAM	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-12	FLORIDA LEADS	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-11	TRUE NORTH PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-11	TRUE NORTH PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-10	MORE JOBS, LESS GOVERNMENT	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-10	MORE JOBS, LESS GOVERNMENT	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	ALME FOR SENATE	—		candidate_committees

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