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CALHOUN, LEE

R Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S6MT00329
Internal id
b3fe818a-b507-48d4-9b81-bc1c33da714d

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Montana. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation1,116,875
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$72,509
IncomePer-capita income$41,711
IncomeIn poverty11.5%
IncomeUnemployed3.6%
IncomeGini inequality index0.465
RaceWhite alone85.0%
RaceBlack alone0.5%
RaceAsian alone0.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino4.6%
RaceTwo or more races6.8%
OriginForeign-born2.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home95.8%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home1.4%
EducationHigh school or higher62.7%
EducationBachelor's or higher35.2%
EducationAdvanced degree12.0%
HouseholdFamily households60.3%
HouseholdAvg household size2.37
HouseholdNever married (15+)30.2%
HousingMedian home value$375,800
HousingMedian gross rent$1,081
HousingSingle-family detached68.8%
HousingBuilt before 19404.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.8%
HousingVacant units13.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)9.0%
HealthWith a disability14.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.7%
CommuteDrove alone71.1%
CommutePublic transit0.6%
CommuteWorked from home12.5%

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofCALHOUNFORMTβ€”candidate_committees

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