NICKEL, WILEY

D · senate

FEC candidate id: S6NC00340
Internal id: 80a4ab13-3982-49cb-80ae-2411d52313a0
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), North Carolina. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	10,730,404
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$72,388
Income	Per-capita income	$41,385
Income	In poverty	13.0%
Income	Unemployed	4.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.477
Race	White alone	61.8%
Race	Black alone	20.3%
Race	Asian alone	3.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	11.3%
Race	Two or more races	8.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	9.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	86.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	8.7%
Education	High school or higher	60.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.6%
Education	Advanced degree	13.5%
Household	Family households	64.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.44
Household	Never married (15+)	32.9%
Housing	Median home value	$288,900
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,228
Housing	Single-family detached	65.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.2%
Housing	Vacant units	12.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.4%
Health	With a disability	13.6%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.1%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.5%
Commute	Drove alone	71.5%
Commute	Public transit	0.7%
Commute	Worked from home	16.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$588,995	$1,277,986	$0	$0	$534,864
2024	$2,383,094	$1,731,102	$688,991	$926,858	$867,468

Elections

2026 general senate · NC-S — running
2026 general senate · NC-S — running
2026 general senate · NC-S — running
2026 general senate · NC-S — running
2026 general senate · NC-S — running
2026 general senate · NC-S — running
2026 general senate · NC-S — running
2026 general senate · NC-S — running

Committees

WILEY NICKEL FOR NORTH CAROLINA — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-09-19	REVIVING AMERICAN JOBS AGAIN PAC	24K	$-5,000
2025-09-16	PATRIOT PAC	24K	$-1,500
2025-07-17	MORGAN MCGARVEY FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2025-07-14	AMERIPAC: THE FUND FOR A GREATER AMERICA	24K	$-5,000
2025-06-30	FIGHTING BACK PAC	24K	$2,000
2025-06-20	REVIVING AMERICAN JOBS AGAIN PAC	24K	$5,000
2025-06-20	REVIVING AMERICAN JOBS AGAIN PAC	24K	$5,000
2025-06-17	REMEDY PAC	24K	$1,000
2025-05-22	GENERATION GO LEADERSHIP PAC	24K	$1,000
2025-05-21	KENNEDY FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2025-05-20	COMMITTEE TO ELECT SHOMARI FIGURES FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2025-05-04	KEVIN MULLIN FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2025-05-01	MCKENZIE RIVER PAC	24K	$1,000
2025-04-29	BEEPAC (BUILDING ECONOMIC EMPOWERMENT PAC)	24K	$1,000
2025-04-24	THREE RIVERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$1,000
2025-04-23	LA BAMBA PAC	24K	$2,500
2025-04-21	PAC A PUNCH	24K	$1,000
2025-04-09	COMMON GOOD PAC	24K	$1,000
2025-04-08	PATRIOT PAC	24K	$2,500
2025-04-07	PROTECT DEMOCRACY NOW	24K	$1,000
2025-04-04	THE MPIRE STRIKES PAC	24K	$2,500

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee WILEY NICKEL FOR NORTH CAROLINA.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
ABRAMSON, RONALD	—	WASHINGTON, DC	1	$3,500
SWAIN, MARY JO	—	CARY, NC	1	$3,300
CONLON, MICHAEL B.	—	CARY, NC	1	$1,700

Connected on the graph

Inbound (21)

date	from	type	amount	source
2025-09-19	REVIVING AMERICAN JOBS AGAIN PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-09-16	PATRIOT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,500	pas2
2025-07-17	MORGAN MCGARVEY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-07-14	AMERIPAC: THE FUND FOR A GREATER AMERICA	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-06-30	FIGHTING BACK PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-06-20	REVIVING AMERICAN JOBS AGAIN PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-06-20	REVIVING AMERICAN JOBS AGAIN PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-06-17	REMEDY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-05-22	GENERATION GO LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-05-21	KENNEDY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-05-20	COMMITTEE TO ELECT SHOMARI FIGURES FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-05-04	KEVIN MULLIN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-05-01	MCKENZIE RIVER PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-04-29	BEEPAC (BUILDING ECONOMIC EMPOWERMENT PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-04-24	THREE RIVERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-04-23	LA BAMBA PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-04-21	PAC A PUNCH	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-04-09	COMMON GOOD FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-04-08	PATRIOT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-04-07	PROTECT DEMOCRACY NOW	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-04-04	THE MPIRE STRIKES PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	WILEY NICKEL FOR NORTH CAROLINA	—		candidate_committees

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