DUES, JUSTIN
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S6NC00456- Internal id
8abc0a86-e05c-4a9b-9068-80c2749dddcc- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), North Carolina. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 10,730,404 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,388 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,385 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 61.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 20.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.5% |
| Household | Family households | 64.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $288,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,228 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.4% |
Elections
- 2026 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NC-S β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERAL | 24K | $3,000 |
| 2025-12-31 | NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERAL | 24K | $3,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERAL | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-31 | NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PARTY - FEDERAL | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 |