KEAN, THOMAS H JR
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S6NJ00271- Internal id
2b234c19-7665-4ae6-af3f-3fd1dd64c0cf- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), New Jersey. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 9,343,809 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $103,556 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $54,253 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.478 |
| Race | White alone | 54.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 10.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 22.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 23.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 66.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 17.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 43.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.6% |
| Household | Family households | 67.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.62 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $454,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,720 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 52.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 62.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 8.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $24,066 | $385 | $88,000 | $0 |
| 2024 | $15,100 | $33 | $24,451 | $112,000 | $2,100 |
| 2022 | $7,500 | $166 | $9,384 | $112,000 | $0 |
| 2020 | $1,500 | $541 | $2,050 | $112,000 | $1,500 |
| 2018 | $0 | $27 | $1,090 | $112,000 | $0 |
| 2016 | $1,000 | $2,941 | $1,118 | $112,000 | $0 |
| 2014 | $8,903 | $8,854 | $3,060 | $112,000 | $8,400 |
| 2012 | $1,006 | $1,460 | $3,011 | $120,000 | $0 |
| 2010 | $18,511 | $16,057 | $3,465 | $120,000 | $10,699 |
| 2008 | $56,105 | $169,975 | $1,011 | $130,000 | $500 |
| 2006 | $7,879,053 | $7,762,373 | $116,879 | $200,000 | $5,571,222 |
Elections
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· NJ-S β running
Committees
- 2006 FINISH LINE CANDIDATE FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- 2006 OPEN SEAT AND CHALLENGER FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- 2006 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- ELECTION FUND OF TOM KEAN β principal Β· type S
- GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- GOP MAJORITY FUND 2006 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- KEAN MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type Y
- KEAN-NJ VICTORY 06 β joint_fundraising Β· type Q
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-16 | GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION C⦠| 24K | $2,500 |
| 2025-07-17 | ELEVANCE HEALTH, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTE⦠| 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-12-19 | AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITI⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-12-02 | REPUBLICAN GOVERNANCE GROUP/TUESDAY GROUP PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-10-28 | VERN BUCHANAN FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-10-27 | TEXAS RED | 24K | $1,500 |
| 2022-10-20 | AMERICAN STAFFING ASSOCIATION STAFFING PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-09-29 | TEXAS RED | 24K | $1,500 |
| 2022-06-23 | NATIONAL ELECTRICAL CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION POL⦠| 24K | $-5,000 |
| 2022-06-06 | NATIONAL ELECTRICAL CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION POL⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-03-27 | TOMORROW IS MEANINGFUL PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2021-09-28 | CONNELL FOLEY PAC A NEW JERSEY NON-PROFIT CORPO⦠| 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (12)
Outbound (8)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | KEAN MAJORITY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | GOP MAJORITY FUND 2006 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | KEAN-NJ VICTORY 06 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2006 FINISH LINE CANDIDATE FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2006 OPEN SEAT AND CHALLENGER FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2006 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | COMMITTEE FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ELECTION FUND OF TOM KEAN | β | candidate_committees |