SPECTER, ARLEN
D Β· senate Β· bioguide S000709
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- FEC candidate id
S6PA00100- Internal id
912e7745-c619-4d90-b87d-bdd75588bcb0- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Pennsylvania. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 13,018,639 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $77,971 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,355 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.474 |
| Race | White alone | 74.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.3% |
| Household | Family households | 62.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.39 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $254,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,209 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 56.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $2,977 | $14,600 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2012 | $15,556 | $81,517 | $11,622 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $8,099,135 | $13,836,433 | $77,584 | $92,500 | $5,523,776 |
| 2008 | $7,168,728 | $1,984,905 | $5,814,880 | $62,393 | $5,712,726 |
| 2006 | $711,096 | $648,819 | $631,059 | $0 | $480,055 |
| 2004 | $14,953,355 | $20,303,372 | $568,781 | $0 | $11,851,388 |
| 2002 | $4,411,485 | $1,226,855 | $5,917,802 | $0 | $3,617,350 |
| 2000 | $428,692 | $354,884 | $2,734,923 | $0 | $101,209 |
| 1998 | $6,264,387 | $4,535,887 | $2,661,115 | $0 | $4,501,241 |
| 1996 | $1,216,999 | $398,675 | $935,227 | $11,984 | $959,098 |
| 1994 | $473,766 | $407,990 | $116,903 | $0 | $324,044 |
| 1992 | $6,882,059 | $8,854,815 | $51,128 | $150,000 | $5,147,004 |
| 1990 | $2,860,909 | $889,881 | $2,023,884 | $22,213 | $2,254,703 |
| 1988 | $720,943 | $710,097 | $52,857 | $329 | $491,653 |
| 1986 | $5,450,763 | $5,993,230 | $64,461 | $266,919 | $0 |
| 1984 | $940,543 | $373,105 | $608,128 | $1,142 | $821,154 |
| 1982 | $102,475 | $85,314 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $1,512,342 | $1,488,588 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1980 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 1980 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 1986 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 1986 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 1992 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 1992 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 1992 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 1998 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 1998 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 1998 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 1998 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 2004 general senate Β· PA-S β lost_general
- 2004 general senate Β· PA-S β lost_general
- 2004 general senate Β· PA-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· PA-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 2010 general senate Β· PA-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· PA-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· PA-S β won
- 2010 general senate Β· PA-S β lost_general
Committees
- 2009 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- CITIZENS FOR ARLEN SPECTER β principal Β· type S
- N/W 2004 COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- PENNSYLVANIA SENATE VICTORY 2010 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- REPUBLICAN MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- REPUBLICAN SENATE VICTORY '98 COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- REPUBLICAN SENATORIAL INNER CIRCLE 1990 β joint_fundraising Β· type Y
- SPECTER VICTORY 2010 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- W/N 2003 COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (9)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SPECTER VICTORY 2010 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | W/N 2003 COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2009 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | N/W 2004 COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | REPUBLICAN SENATE VICTORY '98 COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | REPUBLICAN SENATORIAL INNER CIRCLE 1990 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | PENNSYLVANIA SENATE VICTORY FUND 2010 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | REPUBLICAN MAJORITY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CITIZENS FOR ARLEN SPECTER | β | candidate_committees |