CROCKETT, JASMINE

D · senate

FEC candidate id: S6TX00552
Internal id: 0a1818f9-b28a-4986-b85b-063e6fbca835
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Texas. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	30,188,424
People	Median age	36
Income	Median household income	$78,476
Income	Per-capita income	$40,752
Income	In poverty	13.8%
Income	Unemployed	5.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.478
Race	White alone	48.5%
Race	Black alone	12.2%
Race	Asian alone	5.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	39.7%
Race	Two or more races	23.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	17.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	64.9%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	28.1%
Education	High school or higher	58.1%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	33.8%
Education	Advanced degree	12.3%
Household	Family households	67.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.69
Household	Never married (15+)	34.1%
Housing	Median home value	$283,800
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,403
Housing	Single-family detached	64.4%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	4.8%
Housing	Vacant units	9.4%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.2%
Health	With a disability	12.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	91.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.3%
Commute	Drove alone	71.4%
Commute	Public transit	0.9%
Commute	Worked from home	14.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$11,092,295	$10,459,209	$633,086	$0	$6,152,063

Elections

2026 general senate · TX-S · 2026-11-03 — running
2026 general senate · TX-S · 2026-11-03 — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running

Committees

JASMINE FOR TEXAS — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$748,631	$4,475,994	44

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	oppose	$312,500	Media Buy (estimate)
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	oppose	$1,649	Website Design & Hosting Fees (estimate)
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	oppose	$320	Ad Shipping Fees (estimate)
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	oppose	$1,281,800	Media Buy (estimate)
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	oppose	$807,154	Media Buy (estimate)
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	oppose	$781,605	Media Buy (estimate)
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	oppose	$9,166	Video Production (estimate)
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	oppose	$1,281,800	Media Buy (estimate)
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$13,618	Staff Salaries & Benefits
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$961	Printing
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$925	Gas Cards
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$45,591	Canvassing
2026-02-26	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$933	Printing
2026-02-26	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$8,169	Printing
2026-02-25	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$41,799	Printing
2026-02-25	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$3,951	Printing
2026-02-24	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$519	Printing
2026-02-23	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$2,533	Gas Cards
2026-02-23	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$350	Graphic Design Services
2026-02-23	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$524	Printing
2026-02-20	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$2,318	Mailings
2026-02-20	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$64	Lodging
2026-02-19	ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND	support	$50,000	Digital Ads and Production
2026-02-19	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$172	Printing
2026-02-19	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$99	Lodging

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-02	FORWARD TEXAS	24E	$5,000
2026-03-02	NEW VOICE PAC	24K	$2,000
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$45,590
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$961
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$13,618
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$925
2026-02-26	HIGHER HEIGHTS FOR AMERICA PAC	24K	$1,200
2026-02-26	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$8,168
2026-02-26	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$932
2026-02-26	ALSOPAC	24K	$5,000
2026-02-25	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$3,951
2026-02-25	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$41,799
2026-02-24	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF POSTAL SUPERVISORS PAC	24K	$500
2026-02-24	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$518
2026-02-24	MARCH ON PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-02-23	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$523
2026-02-23	BAMA PAC	24K	$2,000
2026-02-23	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$2,532
2026-02-23	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$350
2026-02-20	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$2,317
2026-02-20	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$63
2026-02-20	LONE STAR RISING PAC	24A	$781,605
2026-02-19	ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND	24E	$50,000
2026-02-19	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$99
2026-02-19	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24E	$172

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	opposes_independently	$1,281,800	fec_ies
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	opposes_independently	$320	fec_ies
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	opposes_independently	$807,154	fec_ies
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	opposes_independently	$312,500	fec_ies
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	opposes_independently	$781,605	fec_ies
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	opposes_independently	$9,166	fec_ies
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	opposes_independently	$1,281,800	fec_ies
—	LONE STAR RISING PAC	opposes_independently	$1,649	fec_ies
2026-03-02	FORWARD TEXAS	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-02	NEW VOICE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$925	pas2
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$45,590	pas2
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$13,618	pas2
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$961	pas2
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$45,591	fec_ies
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$925	fec_ies
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$961	fec_ies
2026-02-27	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$13,618	fec_ies
2026-02-26	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$932	pas2
2026-02-26	ALSOPAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-26	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$933	fec_ies
2026-02-26	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$8,169	fec_ies
2026-02-26	HIGHER HEIGHTS FOR AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1,200	pas2
2026-02-26	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$8,168	pas2
2026-02-25	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$41,799	fec_ies
2026-02-25	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$3,951	fec_ies
2026-02-25	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$41,799	pas2
2026-02-25	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,951	pas2
2026-02-24	MARCH ON PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-24	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$519	fec_ies
2026-02-24	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$518	pas2
2026-02-24	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF POSTAL SUPERVISORS PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2026-02-23	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$350	fec_ies
2026-02-23	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$524	fec_ies
2026-02-23	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$2,533	fec_ies
2026-02-23	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$350	pas2
2026-02-23	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,532	pas2
2026-02-23	BAMA PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-23	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$523	pas2
2026-02-20	LONE STAR RISING PAC	contributed_to	$781,605	pas2
2026-02-20	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$63	pas2
2026-02-20	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$64	fec_ies
2026-02-20	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,317	pas2
2026-02-20	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$2,318	fec_ies
2026-02-19	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$99	pas2
2026-02-19	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$172	pas2
2026-02-19	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$99	fec_ies
2026-02-19	ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$50,000	pas2
2026-02-19	ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
2026-02-19	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$172	fec_ies
2026-02-18	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$28,601	fec_ies
2026-02-18	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$16,875	fec_ies
2026-02-18	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$1,744	fec_ies
2026-02-18	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$1,144	fec_ies
2026-02-18	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,144	pas2
2026-02-18	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,744	pas2
2026-02-18	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$28,601	pas2
2026-02-18	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$16,874	pas2
2026-02-17	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$578	pas2
2026-02-17	LONE STAR RISING PAC	contributed_to	$312,500	pas2
2026-02-17	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$180	pas2
2026-02-17	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$223	pas2
2026-02-17	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$136	fec_ies
2026-02-17	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$181	fec_ies
2026-02-17	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$223	fec_ies
2026-02-17	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$578	fec_ies
2026-02-17	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$136	pas2
2026-02-13	CONGRESS MAJORITY PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2026-02-13	FORWARD TEXAS	contributed_to	$1,414	pas2
2026-02-13	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$165	fec_ies
2026-02-13	FORWARD TEXAS	supports_independently	$11,109	fec_ies
2026-02-13	FORWARD TEXAS	contributed_to	$11,109	pas2
2026-02-13	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$165	pas2
2026-02-13	LONE STAR RISING PAC	contributed_to	$807,154	pas2
2026-02-13	FORWARD TEXAS	supports_independently	$1,415	fec_ies
2026-02-12	FORWARD TEXAS	contributed_to	$357,000	pas2
2026-02-12	FORWARD TEXAS	contributed_to	$130,500	pas2
2026-02-12	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-12	FORWARD TEXAS	supports_independently	$357,000	fec_ies
2026-02-12	FORWARD TEXAS	supports_independently	$130,500	fec_ies
2026-02-11	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$151	fec_ies
2026-02-11	LONE STAR RISING PAC	contributed_to	$1,648	pas2
2026-02-11	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$150	pas2
2026-02-11	LONE STAR RISING PAC	contributed_to	$320	pas2
2026-02-10	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,562	pas2
2026-02-10	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$2,562	fec_ies
2026-02-09	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$13,619	pas2
2026-02-09	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$8,945	pas2
2026-02-09	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$8,946	fec_ies
2026-02-09	TOGETHER EVERYONE REALIZES REAL IMPACT	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-02-09	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$13,620	fec_ies
2026-02-06	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$174	pas2
2026-02-06	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$175	fec_ies
2026-02-06	LONE STAR RISING PAC	contributed_to	$1,281,800	pas2
2026-02-05	LONE STAR RISING PAC	contributed_to	$9,166	pas2
2026-02-03	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$980	pas2
2026-02-03	LONE STAR RISING PAC	contributed_to	$1,281,800	pas2
2026-02-03	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$981	fec_ies
2026-01-31	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$2	pas2
2026-01-31	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$17	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JASMINE FOR TEXAS	—		candidate_committees

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