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BOOZMAN, FAY W III

R Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S8AR00088
Internal id
20b35340-8d80-4d45-8336-a2c1c4f8d800
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Arkansas. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation3,049,391
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$60,773
IncomePer-capita income$34,225
IncomeIn poverty16.0%
IncomeUnemployed4.9%
IncomeGini inequality index0.479
RaceWhite alone69.2%
RaceBlack alone14.7%
RaceAsian alone1.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino9.0%
RaceTwo or more races10.3%
OriginForeign-born5.4%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home91.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.1%
EducationHigh school or higher59.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher25.7%
EducationAdvanced degree9.5%
HouseholdFamily households64.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.46
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.8%
HousingMedian home value$188,000
HousingMedian gross rent$947
HousingSingle-family detached70.0%
HousingBuilt before 19403.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.7%
HousingVacant units13.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.4%
HealthWith a disability18.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband86.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet10.5%
CommuteDrove alone78.9%
CommutePublic transit0.3%
CommuteWorked from home8.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2000$5,356$11,456$0$0$1,486
1998$1,099,108$1,093,007$6,099$2,900$900,193

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-01-10NORTH DAKOTA PETROLEUM COUNCIL, INC. FEDERAL PAC24K$1,000
2021-06-25NATIONAL POTATO COUNCIL POTATO POLITICAL ACTION…24K$2,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (2)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-01-10NORTH DAKOTA PETROLEUM COUNCIL, INC. FEDERAL PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2021-06-25NATIONAL POTATO COUNCIL POTATO POLITICAL ACTION COMMITEEcontributed_to$2,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofBOOZMAN FOR US SENATE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE INCβ€”candidate_committees

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