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BRADLEY, JAMES

R Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S8CA00515
Internal id
64bf609f-b755-410e-9132-4f3bb2b450e2
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), California. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation39,287,377
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$99,122
IncomePer-capita income$49,513
IncomeIn poverty12.0%
IncomeUnemployed6.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.489
RaceWhite alone39.7%
RaceBlack alone5.4%
RaceAsian alone15.5%
RaceHispanic or Latino40.2%
RaceTwo or more races19.2%
OriginForeign-born27.0%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home55.6%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home28.3%
EducationHigh school or higher57.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher37.1%
EducationAdvanced degree14.4%
HouseholdFamily households67.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.84
HouseholdNever married (15+)38.2%
HousingMedian home value$734,700
HousingMedian gross rent$2,036
HousingSingle-family detached57.0%
HousingBuilt before 19405.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)8.2%
HousingVacant units7.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.3%
HealthWith a disability11.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband93.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.6%
CommuteDrove alone65.7%
CommutePublic transit2.9%
CommuteWorked from home17.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$1,175$17,728$500$245$10
2024$196,983$180,015$17,052$245$192,680
2022$150,697$154,265$85$9,383$128,529
2020$7,088$3,434$3,653$5,180$1,605

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-09-01WINRED24K$-15
2022-06-30WINRED24K$-25
2022-06-01YUBA COUNTY REPUBLICAN PARTY (FED. ACCT.)24Z$92
2022-05-11WINRED24K$-10
2022-05-06WINRED24K$-8
2022-04-25WINRED24K$-10
2022-04-22WINRED24K$-24
2022-04-22WINRED24K$-24
2022-04-20WINRED24K$-25
2022-04-15WINRED24K$-25
2022-04-15WINRED24K$-25
2022-04-15WINRED24K$-50
2022-04-15WINRED24K$-25
2022-04-11WINRED24K$-50
2022-04-11WINRED24K$-50
2022-04-08WINRED24K$-25
2022-04-04WINRED24K$-15
2022-03-31WINRED24K$-25
2022-03-01WINRED24K$-24
2022-01-22WINRED24K$-25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (20)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-09-01WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-06-30WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-06-01YUBA COUNTY REPUBLICAN PARTY (FED. ACCT.)contributed_to$92pas2
2022-05-11WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-05-06WINREDcontributed_to$-8pas2
2022-04-25WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-04-22WINREDcontributed_to$-24pas2
2022-04-22WINREDcontributed_to$-24pas2
2022-04-20WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-15WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-15WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-04-15WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-15WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-11WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-04-11WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-04-08WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-04WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-03-31WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-03-01WINREDcontributed_to$-24pas2
2022-01-22WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofJAMES BRADLEY FOR US SENATEβ€”candidate_committees

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