NELSON, BILL

D · senate · bioguide N000032

FEC candidate id: S8FL00166
Internal id: d51053a4-361d-42f5-9d1f-fdb57867726e
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Florida. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	22,416,077
People	Median age	43
Income	Median household income	$74,568
Income	Per-capita income	$42,609
Income	In poverty	12.6%
Income	Unemployed	4.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.485
Race	White alone	55.9%
Race	Black alone	15.1%
Race	Asian alone	2.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	27.4%
Race	Two or more races	19.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	21.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	69.4%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	22.6%
Education	High school or higher	61.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	34.1%
Education	Advanced degree	12.9%
Household	Family households	64.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.51
Household	Never married (15+)	31.7%
Housing	Median home value	$359,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,669
Housing	Single-family detached	54.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.3%
Housing	Vacant units	14.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.4%
Health	With a disability	13.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	91.6%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.5%
Commute	Drove alone	70.2%
Commute	Public transit	1.2%
Commute	Worked from home	15.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$209,363	$1,433,114	$0	$0	$0
2020	$722,905	$1,255,623	$1,223,751	$0	$0
2018	$32,401,758	$32,418,266	$1,730,969	$0	$25,495,018
2016	$1,221,446	$402,577	$1,745,453	$0	$528,549
2014	$478,987	$546,727	$926,585	$0	$215,866
2012	$13,404,998	$15,494,167	$994,324	$0	$10,422,740
2010	$2,290,715	$680,382	$3,083,493	$0	$1,596,241
2008	$1,110,099	$953,164	$1,473,160	$0	$633,962
2006	$15,355,490	$16,116,224	$1,316,224	$0	$12,690,628
2004	$1,630,881	$463,362	$2,076,959	$0	$1,204,702
2002	$1,438,429	$532,414	$909,440	$0	$1,045,414
2000	$6,639,346	$6,635,919	$3,424	$0	$4,888,053

Elections

2000 general senate · FL-S — won
2000 general senate · FL-S — won
2000 general senate · FL-S — won
2000 general senate · FL-S — won
2000 general senate · FL-S — won
2006 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2006 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2006 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2006 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2006 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2012 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2012 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2012 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2012 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2012 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2018 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2018 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2018 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2018 general senate · FL-S — won
2018 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2018 general senate · FL-S — won
2018 general senate · FL-S — lost_general

Committees

2018 SENATE IMPACT — joint_fundraising · type S
BILL NELSON FOR US SENATE — principal · type S
BLUE SENATE 2018 — joint_fundraising · type S
COMMITTEE FOR A BETTER FUTURE — joint_fundraising · type S
COMMON SENSE 2018 — joint_fundraising · type S
FLORIDA 2000 — joint_fundraising · type X
FLORIDA MISSOURI VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
FLORIDA MONTANA VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
FLORIDA SENATE 2006 — joint_fundraising · type X
FLORIDA SENATE 2012 — joint_fundraising · type N
FLORIDA SENATE RECOUNT 2018 — joint_fundraising · type N
FLORIDA-MISSOURI VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
GREEN SENATE IMPACT 2018 — joint_fundraising · type S
HEINRICH NELSON VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
JUSTICE 2012 — joint_fundraising · type S
JUSTICE 2012 TEXAS — joint_fundraising · type S
JUSTICE 2018 — joint_fundraising · type N
MODERATE SENATE 2012 — joint_fundraising · type S
NELSON-HARMAN VICTORY FUND 2006 — joint_fundraising · type H
NELSON-MENENDEZ VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
SEARCHLIGHT TAHOE VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
SEARCHLIGHT VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
SENATE 2006 — joint_fundraising · type Q
SENATE 2018 IMPACT — joint_fundraising · type S
SENATE IMPACT: FL & NV — joint_fundraising · type S
SENATE VICTORY 2018 — joint_fundraising · type S
SUNSHINE STATE PAC — joint_fundraising · type N

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
D (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (27)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FLORIDA SENATE 2012	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SENATE 2006	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	NELSON-MENENDEZ VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SEARCHLIGHT TAHOE VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SENATE VICTORY 2018	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FLORIDA 2000	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MODERATE SENATE 2012	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	BLUE SENATE 2018	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SEARCHLIGHT VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SENATE 2018 IMPACT	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SENATE IMPACT: FL & NV	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	2018 SENATE IMPACT	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SUNSHINE STATE PAC	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	JUSTICE 2018	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	COMMON SENSE 2018	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	NELSON-HARMAN VICTORY FUND 2006	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	JUSTICE 2012 TEXAS	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	JUSTICE 2012	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	COMMITTEE FOR A BETTER FUTURE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FLORIDA MONTANA VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FLORIDA SENATE 2006	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FLORIDA-MISSOURI VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	HEINRICH NELSON VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FLORIDA MISSOURI VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FLORIDA SENATE RECOUNT 2018	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	GREEN SENATE IMPACT 2018	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	BILL NELSON FOR US SENATE	—	candidate_committees

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