BURNS, CONRAD
R Β· senate Β· bioguide B001126
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- FEC candidate id
S8MT00119- Internal id
12be1a42-2cec-4249-aa6f-1fb1d74ccdda- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Montana. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,116,875 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,509 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,711 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 85.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.0% |
| Household | Family households | 60.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $375,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,081 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $1,928 | $30,198 | $37,727 | $0 | $0 |
| 2008 | $84,679 | $300,088 | $65,997 | $0 | $0 |
| 2006 | $8,057,326 | $8,516,022 | $281,405 | $0 | $4,875,983 |
| 2004 | $995,308 | $358,287 | $740,101 | $0 | $641,310 |
| 2002 | $296,387 | $306,695 | $103,080 | $0 | $156,566 |
| 2000 | $3,931,167 | $4,337,961 | $113,386 | $0 | $2,019,874 |
| 1998 | $887,064 | $405,882 | $520,182 | $0 | $515,470 |
| 1996 | $411,943 | $421,966 | $39,000 | $7,100 | $173,653 |
| 1994 | $3,090,696 | $3,243,392 | $49,023 | $141,254 | $1,568,833 |
| 1992 | $308,992 | $183,121 | $205,240 | $0 | $112,148 |
| 1990 | $232,772 | $177,269 | $79,369 | $5,000 | $74,062 |
| 1988 | $1,099,498 | $1,075,631 | $23,866 | $38,921 | $540,489 |
Elections
- 1988 general senate Β· MT-S β won
- 1994 general senate Β· MT-S β won
- 1994 general senate Β· MT-S β won
- 1994 general senate Β· MT-S β won
- 2000 general senate Β· MT-S β won
- 2000 general senate Β· MT-S β won
- 2000 general senate Β· MT-S β won
- 2006 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β running
- 2012 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
Committees
- 2005 JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- 2005 LEADER'S ALLIANCE COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type Y
- 2005 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- 2006 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- BC COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- BIG SKY FREEDOM PAC β principal Β· type N
- BIG SKY FREEDOM PAC β independent Β· type N
- BN COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- BURNS VICTORY COMMITEE β joint_fundraising Β· type Y
- BURNS VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type Y
- BURNS WINTERFEST '98 β joint_fundraising Β· type Q
- FRIENDS OF CONRAD BURNS (1994) β principal Β· type S
- FRIENDS OF CONRAD BURNS - 2000 β principal Β· type S
- GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type X
- GOP MAJORITY FUND 2006 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- KYL DEWINE BURNS KENNEDY CALIFORNIA COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- MONTANA STRAIGHT TALK EXPRESS COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- REPUBLICAN SENATE VICTORY '94 COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- REPUBLICAN SENATORIAL INNER CIRCLE 1990 β joint_fundraising Β· type Y
- SENATE MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- W/N 1999 β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- W/N 2000 COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (22)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | BIG SKY FREEDOM PAC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | W/N 2000 COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BN COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2005 LEADER'S ALLIANCE COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BURNS VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | GOP MAJORITY FUND 2006 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | MONTANA STRAIGHT TALK EXPRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BC COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BURNS VICTORY COMMITEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2005 JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BURNS WINTERFEST '98 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | KYL DEWINE BURNS KENNEDY CALIFORNIA COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2005 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2006 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | REPUBLICAN SENATE VICTORY '94 COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | W/N 1999 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | REPUBLICAN SENATORIAL INNER CIRCLE 1990 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SENATE MAJORITY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BIG SKY FREEDOM PAC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF CONRAD BURNS (1994) | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF CONRAD BURNS - 2000 | β | candidate_committees |