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GIBBONS, MICHAEL

R Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S8OH00086
Internal id
9810a94a-1698-40e1-ac9e-c2f1cf29c6e5
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Ohio. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation11,810,293
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$71,389
IncomePer-capita income$40,552
IncomeIn poverty13.3%
IncomeUnemployed4.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.467
RaceWhite alone76.8%
RaceBlack alone12.2%
RaceAsian alone2.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino4.8%
RaceTwo or more races6.5%
OriginForeign-born5.2%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home92.0%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.6%
EducationHigh school or higher63.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher31.5%
EducationAdvanced degree12.2%
HouseholdFamily households61.2%
HouseholdAvg household size2.37
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.6%
HousingMedian home value$214,800
HousingMedian gross rent$1,034
HousingSingle-family detached68.8%
HousingBuilt before 19405.6%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.5%
HousingVacant units8.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.6%
HealthWith a disability14.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.4%
CommuteDrove alone75.1%
CommutePublic transit1.0%
CommuteWorked from home13.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$1,036$25,543$0$0$0
2022$19,308,077$19,283,692$24,507$18,420,000$949,615
2020$0$0$122$250,000$0
2018$3,343,485$3,343,363$122$250,000$624,513

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$228,319$5,012,52518

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACoppose$3,500Digital Advertising (production costs)
β€”FUND FOR A WORKING CONGRESSoppose$32,332Federal IE - Direct Mail
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACoppose$16,060P2P Text Segment
2022-05-04USA FREEDOM FUNDsupport$15,394Texting
2022-05-02BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIOsupport$50,000DIGITAL VOTER CONTACT
2022-04-28BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIOsupport$38,500PLACED MEDIA: TV
2022-04-21BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIOsupport$6,300PRODUCTION COST: TV
2022-04-19BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIOsupport$118,125PLACED MEDIA: TV
2022-04-19CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$37TV ad costs (from advance line 21)
2022-04-18CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$27,825TV ad placement
2022-04-18AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACoppose$100,000Digital advertising
2022-04-15CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$395tv ad production (from advance line 21)
2022-04-13CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$1,269,747TV ad placement
2022-04-13OHIO LEADSoppose$7,000Media Production
2022-04-13CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTIONoppose$10,325TV ad production
2022-04-08OHIO LEADSoppose$500,000Media Placement
2022-04-01USA FREEDOM FUNDoppose$1,491,976Media Placement
2022-03-29USA FREEDOM FUNDoppose$1,553,328Media Placement

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
β€”FUND FOR A WORKING CONGRESS24A$32,332
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC24A$3,500
2022-08-25WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-08-25WINRED24K$-5,800
2022-08-25WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-07-25WINRED24K$-20
2022-07-25WINRED24K$-10
2022-05-02BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIO24E$50,000
2022-05-02AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC24A$16,059
2022-04-28BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIO24E$38,500
2022-04-21BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIO24E$6,300
2022-04-21THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLIT…24K$5,000
2022-04-19BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIO24E$118,125
2022-04-19CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24A$37
2022-04-18CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24A$27,825
2022-04-18AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC24A$100,000
2022-04-15CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24A$394
2022-04-13OHIO LEADS24A$7,000
2022-04-13CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24A$10,325
2022-04-13CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24A$1,269,747
2022-04-08OHIO LEADS24A$500,000
2022-04-01USA FREEDOM FUND24A$1,491,976
2022-03-29USA FREEDOM FUND24A$1,553,328
2022-03-21WINRED24K$-25
2022-02-20WINRED24K$-500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (75)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACcontributed_to$3,500pas2
β€”FUND FOR A WORKING CONGRESScontributed_to$32,332pas2
β€”FUND FOR A WORKING CONGRESSopposes_independently$32,332fec_ies
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACopposes_independently$3,500fec_ies
β€”AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACopposes_independently$16,060fec_ies
2022-08-25WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-08-25WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-08-25WINREDcontributed_to$-5,800pas2
2022-07-25WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-07-25WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-05-04USA FREEDOM FUNDsupports_independently$15,394fec_ies
2022-05-02AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACcontributed_to$16,059pas2
2022-05-02BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIOsupports_independently$50,000fec_ies
2022-05-02BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIOcontributed_to$50,000pas2
2022-04-28BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIOsupports_independently$38,500fec_ies
2022-04-28BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIOcontributed_to$38,500pas2
2022-04-21THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-04-21BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIOsupports_independently$6,300fec_ies
2022-04-21BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIOcontributed_to$6,300pas2
2022-04-19BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIOsupports_independently$118,125fec_ies
2022-04-19CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$37fec_ies
2022-04-19CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$37pas2
2022-04-19BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIOcontributed_to$118,125pas2
2022-04-18CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$27,825pas2
2022-04-18CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$27,825fec_ies
2022-04-18AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACcontributed_to$100,000pas2
2022-04-18AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PACopposes_independently$100,000fec_ies
2022-04-15CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$395fec_ies
2022-04-15CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$394pas2
2022-04-13OHIO LEADSopposes_independently$7,000fec_ies
2022-04-13CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$1,269,747fec_ies
2022-04-13CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$10,325pas2
2022-04-13CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$1,269,747pas2
2022-04-13OHIO LEADScontributed_to$7,000pas2
2022-04-13CLUB FOR GROWTHopposes_independently$10,325fec_ies
2022-04-08OHIO LEADSopposes_independently$500,000fec_ies
2022-04-08OHIO LEADScontributed_to$500,000pas2
2022-04-01USA FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$1,491,976fec_ies
2022-04-01USA FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$1,491,976pas2
2022-03-29USA FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$1,553,328fec_ies
2022-03-29USA FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$1,553,328pas2
2022-03-21WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-02-20WINREDcontributed_to$-500pas2
2022-02-20WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-01-17WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-01-14WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-12-05WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-11-05WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-10-29WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-10-18WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-10-18WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-10-18WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-10-18WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-10-18WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-10-16WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2021-10-07WINREDcontributed_to$-335pas2
2021-10-04WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-10-04WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-09-30WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-09-21WINREDcontributed_to$-103pas2
2021-09-21WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-08-28WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-08-13WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-08-02WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-08-01WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-07-31WINREDcontributed_to$-150pas2
2021-07-12WINREDcontributed_to$-1,000pas2
2021-07-10WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-07-09WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-06-26WINREDcontributed_to$50pas2
2021-06-19WINREDcontributed_to$100pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofGIBBONS FOR OHIOβ€”candidate_committees

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