CHAFEE, LINCOLN D
R Β· senate Β· bioguide C001040
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- FEC candidate id
S8RI00102- Internal id
922959c8-13d8-46a8-ba76-a2928d6221c9- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Rhode Island. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,101,801 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $87,796 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,150 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.461 |
| Race | White alone | 70.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 17.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 15.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 76.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 13.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.4% |
| Household | Family households | 61.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.39 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 37.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $404,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,342 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 55.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $111 | $72,297 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2008 | $84,125 | $82,835 | $72,185 | $1,123,734 | $500 |
| 2006 | $4,782,343 | $5,381,488 | $61,542 | $1,128,734 | $2,034,462 |
| 2004 | $447,530 | $156,372 | $668,328 | $0 | $276,436 |
| 2002 | $458,786 | $347,810 | $377,169 | $0 | $90,401 |
| 2000 | $2,531,413 | $2,265,221 | $266,192 | $300,000 | $1,420,070 |
Elections
- 2000 general senate Β· RI-S β won
- 2000 general senate Β· RI-S β won
- 2000 general senate Β· RI-S β won
- 2000 general senate Β· RI-S β won
- 2000 general senate Β· RI-S β won
- 2006 general senate Β· RI-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· RI-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· RI-S β won
- 2006 general senate Β· RI-S β won
- 2006 general senate Β· RI-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· RI-S β lost_general
Committees
- 2005 LEADER'S ALLIANCE COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type Y
- 2005 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- 2006 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- CHAFEE FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
- CHAFEE RHODE ISLAND VICTORY 2006 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type X
- LINCOLN CHAFEE US SENATE β principal Β· type S
- W/N 2000 COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (8)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | W/N 2000 COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2005 LEADER'S ALLIANCE COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | CHAFEE RHODE ISLAND VICTORY 2006 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2005 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2006 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | LINCOLN CHAFEE US SENATE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CHAFEE FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |